Forecast consensus from recent model runs places Moscow's July 15 maximum near 25–26 °C, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in afternoon boundary-layer heating under variable cloud cover and weak pressure gradients, with some guidance indicating brief clearing that could push readings 1–2 °C higher while others favor lingering moisture limiting the peak. July climatology shows a long-term average high of roughly 24 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal yet within typical interannual variability. Updated high-resolution runs and observational assimilation over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Moskau am 15. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in Moskau am 15. Juli?
25°C 39%
24°C 30%
26°C 15%
23°C 15%
NEU
NEU
15. Juli 2026
19°C oder darunter
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
2%
23°C
15%
24°C
30%
25°C
39%
26°C
15%
27°C
4%
28°C
2%
29°C oder höher
<1%
25°C 39%
24°C 30%
26°C 15%
23°C 15%
NEU
NEU
15. Juli 2026
19°C oder darunter
$1,642 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$620 Vol.
1%
21°C
$346 Vol.
2%
22°C
$423 Vol.
2%
23°C
$322 Vol.
15%
24°C
$330 Vol.
30%
25°C
$428 Vol.
39%
26°C
$422 Vol.
15%
27°C
$507 Vol.
4%
28°C
$522 Vol.
2%
29°C oder höher
$761 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from recent model runs places Moscow's July 15 maximum near 25–26 °C, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in afternoon boundary-layer heating under variable cloud cover and weak pressure gradients, with some guidance indicating brief clearing that could push readings 1–2 °C higher while others favor lingering moisture limiting the peak. July climatology shows a long-term average high of roughly 24 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal yet within typical interannual variability. Updated high-resolution runs and observational assimilation over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volumen
$6,322Enddatum
15. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from recent model runs places Moscow's July 15 maximum near 25–26 °C, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in afternoon boundary-layer heating under variable cloud cover and weak pressure gradients, with some guidance indicating brief clearing that could push readings 1–2 °C higher while others favor lingering moisture limiting the peak. July climatology shows a long-term average high of roughly 24 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal yet within typical interannual variability. Updated high-resolution runs and observational assimilation over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$6,322Enddatum
15. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 13, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from recent model runs places Moscow's July 15 maximum near 25–26 °C, aligning with the tightly clustered market-implied probabilities. Ensemble spreads reflect modest uncertainty in afternoon boundary-layer heating under variable cloud cover and weak pressure gradients, with some guidance indicating brief clearing that could push readings 1–2 °C higher while others favor lingering moisture limiting the peak. July climatology shows a long-term average high of roughly 24 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal yet within typical interannual variability. Updated high-resolution runs and observational assimilation over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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