Recent short-range forecasts from sources including timeanddate and regional models indicate a mostly cloudy June 30 with a daytime high near 26°C for Moscow, supported by moderate northerly flow and limited solar heating. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 26–28°C because ensemble spreads in global models like ECMWF and GFS show modest uncertainty in ridge positioning and warm-air advection over the next 48 hours, with any stronger southerly component or reduced cloud cover able to push maxima toward 29°C. Historical June averages near 22–24°C provide context, but the recent late-May heatwave exceeding 30°C has kept market-implied odds elevated for the upper end of the near-term distribution. Updated model runs and observational data through June 29 will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Moskau am 30. Juni?
26°C 31%
27°C 31%
28°C 27%
29°C 18.7%
22°C oder weniger
4%
23°C
5%
24°C
9%
25°C
10%
26°C
31%
27°C
24%
28°C
27%
29°C
19%
30°C
5%
31°C
4%
32°C oder höher
4%
26°C 31%
27°C 31%
28°C 27%
29°C 18.7%
22°C oder weniger
4%
23°C
5%
24°C
9%
25°C
10%
26°C
31%
27°C
24%
28°C
27%
29°C
19%
30°C
5%
31°C
4%
32°C oder höher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 28, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from sources including timeanddate and regional models indicate a mostly cloudy June 30 with a daytime high near 26°C for Moscow, supported by moderate northerly flow and limited solar heating. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 26–28°C because ensemble spreads in global models like ECMWF and GFS show modest uncertainty in ridge positioning and warm-air advection over the next 48 hours, with any stronger southerly component or reduced cloud cover able to push maxima toward 29°C. Historical June averages near 22–24°C provide context, but the recent late-May heatwave exceeding 30°C has kept market-implied odds elevated for the upper end of the near-term distribution. Updated model runs and observational data through June 29 will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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