Latest European forecast models, including BBC guidance, show Warsaw under a warm southerly flow with sunny intervals and light northerly winds on June 30, supporting a maximum near 32°C after several days of anomalous heat exceeding 35°C. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from variable cloud cover and possible thundery showers that could limit boundary-layer heating or allow brief cooling, keeping 31°C and 32°C outcomes tightly matched in trader pricing. June climatology places normal highs around 23–25°C, so current conditions reflect a short-lived positive anomaly rather than seasonal norms, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour peak recorded by official stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Warschau am 30. Juni?
32°C 30%
31°C 28%
30°C 16%
33°C 15%
26°C oder weniger
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
8%
30°C
16%
31°C
28%
32°C
30%
33°C
15%
34°C
5%
35°C
4%
36°C oder höher
1%
32°C 30%
31°C 28%
30°C 16%
33°C 15%
26°C oder weniger
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
8%
30°C
16%
31°C
28%
32°C
30%
33°C
15%
34°C
5%
35°C
4%
36°C oder höher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 28, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest European forecast models, including BBC guidance, show Warsaw under a warm southerly flow with sunny intervals and light northerly winds on June 30, supporting a maximum near 32°C after several days of anomalous heat exceeding 35°C. Ensemble spreads arise mainly from variable cloud cover and possible thundery showers that could limit boundary-layer heating or allow brief cooling, keeping 31°C and 32°C outcomes tightly matched in trader pricing. June climatology places normal highs around 23–25°C, so current conditions reflect a short-lived positive anomaly rather than seasonal norms, with resolution hinging on the precise 24-hour peak recorded by official stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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