Current short-range model guidance from sources like the German Weather Service and ECMWF ensembles points to a highest temperature of 24–26°C in Munich on July 22 under broken cloud cover and light winds, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Recent runs show modest spread due to variable steering patterns and limited daytime heating, with no strong high-pressure ridge or warm advection developing. This aligns with typical mid-July climatology near 24°C, where small shifts in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can easily move the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model cycles and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise peak.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in München am 22. Juli?
24°C 36%
25°C 35%
26°C 16%
23°C 13%
$11,365 Vol.
$11,365 Vol.
18°C oder niedriger
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
13%
24°C
36%
25°C
35%
26°C
16%
27°C
3%
28°C oder höher
<1%
24°C 36%
25°C 35%
26°C 16%
23°C 13%
$11,365 Vol.
$11,365 Vol.
18°C oder niedriger
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
13%
24°C
36%
25°C
35%
26°C
16%
27°C
3%
28°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 20, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range model guidance from sources like the German Weather Service and ECMWF ensembles points to a highest temperature of 24–26°C in Munich on July 22 under broken cloud cover and light winds, explaining the tight clustering of market-implied odds around those outcomes. Recent runs show modest spread due to variable steering patterns and limited daytime heating, with no strong high-pressure ridge or warm advection developing. This aligns with typical mid-July climatology near 24°C, where small shifts in cloud timing or boundary-layer mixing can easily move the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Updated model cycles and observational data over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise peak.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen