Current National Weather Service and model guidance for August 3 points to a highest temperature near 82–84°F at Central Park or LaGuardia, placing the two leading market bins in close contention. Southwesterly flow ahead of a weak front, combined with moderate humidity and partial cloud cover, supports this range while limiting strong daytime heating. Recent Climate Prediction Center outlooks for above-average August temperatures provide broader context, yet short-range ensemble spread and potential afternoon showers introduce enough variability to keep 80–81°F and 86–87°F bins active. Updated model runs and the NWS afternoon forecast discussion will likely refine the outcome before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in NYC am 3. August?
82-83°F 34%
84-85°F 33%
80-81°F 22%
86-87°F 8%
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
22%
82-83°F
34%
84-85°F
33%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 34%
84-85°F 33%
80-81°F 22%
86-87°F 8%
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
2%
78-79°F
7%
80-81°F
22%
82-83°F
34%
84-85°F
33%
86-87°F
8%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 1, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service and model guidance for August 3 points to a highest temperature near 82–84°F at Central Park or LaGuardia, placing the two leading market bins in close contention. Southwesterly flow ahead of a weak front, combined with moderate humidity and partial cloud cover, supports this range while limiting strong daytime heating. Recent Climate Prediction Center outlooks for above-average August temperatures provide broader context, yet short-range ensemble spread and potential afternoon showers introduce enough variability to keep 80–81°F and 86–87°F bins active. Updated model runs and the NWS afternoon forecast discussion will likely refine the outcome before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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