Current short-term forecasts from regional models and Panama's ETESA service point to a daily maximum near 33–34°C in Panama City on July 16, reflecting typical wet-season conditions with strong solar heating, high humidity, and afternoon convective clouds that can cap or slightly suppress peaks. Traders assign the highest probabilities to these outcomes because historical July averages hover around 30–31°C, while 2026 monthly guidance has shown occasional excursions into the mid-30s when trade winds weaken and sea-surface temperatures remain elevated. Differentiation between 32°C and 35°C hinges on precise timing of cloud development, boundary-layer moisture, and any localized sea-breeze effects, with model runs diverging on whether convection initiates before or after the daily high is reached. Updated guidance expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Panama City am 16. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in Panama City am 16. Juli?
34°C 35%
33°C 34%
32°C 14%
35°C 12.2%
NEU
NEU
16. Juli 2026
28°C oder niedriger
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
7%
31°C
9%
32°C
14%
33°C
34%
34°C
35%
35°C
12%
36°C
2%
37°C
1%
38°C oder höher
1%
34°C 35%
33°C 34%
32°C 14%
35°C 12.2%
NEU
NEU
16. Juli 2026
28°C oder niedriger
$0 Vol.
1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
1%
30°C
$21 Vol.
7%
31°C
$0 Vol.
9%
32°C
$138 Vol.
14%
33°C
$30 Vol.
34%
34°C
$5 Vol.
35%
35°C
$0 Vol.
12%
36°C
$92 Vol.
2%
37°C
$20 Vol.
1%
38°C oder höher
$28 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts from regional models and Panama's ETESA service point to a daily maximum near 33–34°C in Panama City on July 16, reflecting typical wet-season conditions with strong solar heating, high humidity, and afternoon convective clouds that can cap or slightly suppress peaks. Traders assign the highest probabilities to these outcomes because historical July averages hover around 30–31°C, while 2026 monthly guidance has shown occasional excursions into the mid-30s when trade winds weaken and sea-surface temperatures remain elevated. Differentiation between 32°C and 35°C hinges on precise timing of cloud development, boundary-layer moisture, and any localized sea-breeze effects, with model runs diverging on whether convection initiates before or after the daily high is reached. Updated guidance expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ET
Volumen
$333Enddatum
16. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-term forecasts from regional models and Panama's ETESA service point to a daily maximum near 33–34°C in Panama City on July 16, reflecting typical wet-season conditions with strong solar heating, high humidity, and afternoon convective clouds that can cap or slightly suppress peaks. Traders assign the highest probabilities to these outcomes because historical July averages hover around 30–31°C, while 2026 monthly guidance has shown occasional excursions into the mid-30s when trade winds weaken and sea-surface temperatures remain elevated. Differentiation between 32°C and 35°C hinges on precise timing of cloud development, boundary-layer moisture, and any localized sea-breeze effects, with model runs diverging on whether convection initiates before or after the daily high is reached. Updated guidance expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$333Enddatum
16. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 14, 2026, 9:04 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current short-term forecasts from regional models and Panama's ETESA service point to a daily maximum near 33–34°C in Panama City on July 16, reflecting typical wet-season conditions with strong solar heating, high humidity, and afternoon convective clouds that can cap or slightly suppress peaks. Traders assign the highest probabilities to these outcomes because historical July averages hover around 30–31°C, while 2026 monthly guidance has shown occasional excursions into the mid-30s when trade winds weaken and sea-surface temperatures remain elevated. Differentiation between 32°C and 35°C hinges on precise timing of cloud development, boundary-layer moisture, and any localized sea-breeze effects, with model runs diverging on whether convection initiates before or after the daily high is reached. Updated guidance expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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