Recent heat wave advisories across South Korea, combined with East Asian monsoon moisture and variable cloud cover, anchor trader sentiment around 28–30°C for Seoul’s July 15 high. Official Korea Meteorological Administration monitoring shows persistent high humidity and scattered afternoon convection that can suppress or enhance daytime maxima by 1–2°C depending on timing. Subtle differences in steering flow and urban heat-island effects differentiate the closely matched 27–30°C outcomes, while ensemble model spread remains modest this close to the event. Historical July climatology places typical highs near 29°C, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Seoul am 15. Juli?
Höchste Temperatur in Seoul am 15. Juli?
28°C 39%
29°C 31%
27°C 16%
30°C 10%
NEU
NEU
15. Juli 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
16%
28°C
39%
29°C
31%
30°C
10%
31°C or higher
4%
28°C 39%
29°C 31%
27°C 16%
30°C 10%
NEU
NEU
15. Juli 2026
21°C or below
$873 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$351 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$520 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$436 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,834 Vol.
1%
26°C
$891 Vol.
2%
27°C
$294 Vol.
16%
28°C
$393 Vol.
39%
29°C
$1,111 Vol.
31%
30°C
$1,729 Vol.
10%
31°C or higher
$1,270 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heat wave advisories across South Korea, combined with East Asian monsoon moisture and variable cloud cover, anchor trader sentiment around 28–30°C for Seoul’s July 15 high. Official Korea Meteorological Administration monitoring shows persistent high humidity and scattered afternoon convection that can suppress or enhance daytime maxima by 1–2°C depending on timing. Subtle differences in steering flow and urban heat-island effects differentiate the closely matched 27–30°C outcomes, while ensemble model spread remains modest this close to the event. Historical July climatology places typical highs near 29°C, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 13, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volumen
$9,691Enddatum
15. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 13, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent heat wave advisories across South Korea, combined with East Asian monsoon moisture and variable cloud cover, anchor trader sentiment around 28–30°C for Seoul’s July 15 high. Official Korea Meteorological Administration monitoring shows persistent high humidity and scattered afternoon convection that can suppress or enhance daytime maxima by 1–2°C depending on timing. Subtle differences in steering flow and urban heat-island effects differentiate the closely matched 27–30°C outcomes, while ensemble model spread remains modest this close to the event. Historical July climatology places typical highs near 29°C, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$9,691Enddatum
15. Juli 2026Markt eröffnet
Jul 13, 2026, 12:02 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent heat wave advisories across South Korea, combined with East Asian monsoon moisture and variable cloud cover, anchor trader sentiment around 28–30°C for Seoul’s July 15 high. Official Korea Meteorological Administration monitoring shows persistent high humidity and scattered afternoon convection that can suppress or enhance daytime maxima by 1–2°C depending on timing. Subtle differences in steering flow and urban heat-island effects differentiate the closely matched 27–30°C outcomes, while ensemble model spread remains modest this close to the event. Historical July climatology places typical highs near 29°C, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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