Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cold front will bring persistent cloud cover, southerly winds, and widespread rain to São Paulo on September 23, sharply limiting daytime heating after warmer conditions earlier in the week. Official guidance points to a maximum near 15–16 °C under these stable, moist conditions, consistent with the market’s heaviest volume on 16–18 °C outcomes. Historical September averages near 24 °C highlight the anomaly, while model consensus on the front’s timing and strength leaves little room for a warmer spike above 19 °C. Updated runs from agencies such as the National Meteorological Institute and regional ensembles will be the next key data points before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 23. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 23. September?
17°C 40%
16°C 23%
18°C 22%
15°C 14%
NEU
NEU
23. Sep. 2026
13°C oder weniger
3%
14°C
6%
15°C
14%
16°C
23%
17°C
40%
18°C
22%
19°C
7%
20°C
3%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C oder höher
<1%
17°C 40%
16°C 23%
18°C 22%
15°C 14%
NEU
NEU
23. Sep. 2026
13°C oder weniger
$10 Vol.
3%
14°C
$0 Vol.
6%
15°C
$5 Vol.
14%
16°C
$9 Vol.
23%
17°C
$18 Vol.
40%
18°C
$5 Vol.
22%
19°C
$27 Vol.
7%
20°C
$60 Vol.
3%
21°C
$105 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$95 Vol.
<1%
23°C oder höher
$95 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cold front will bring persistent cloud cover, southerly winds, and widespread rain to São Paulo on September 23, sharply limiting daytime heating after warmer conditions earlier in the week. Official guidance points to a maximum near 15–16 °C under these stable, moist conditions, consistent with the market’s heaviest volume on 16–18 °C outcomes. Historical September averages near 24 °C highlight the anomaly, while model consensus on the front’s timing and strength leaves little room for a warmer spike above 19 °C. Updated runs from agencies such as the National Meteorological Institute and regional ensembles will be the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 21, 2026, 8:55 AM ET
Volumen
$429Enddatum
23. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 21, 2026, 8:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cold front will bring persistent cloud cover, southerly winds, and widespread rain to São Paulo on September 23, sharply limiting daytime heating after warmer conditions earlier in the week. Official guidance points to a maximum near 15–16 °C under these stable, moist conditions, consistent with the market’s heaviest volume on 16–18 °C outcomes. Historical September averages near 24 °C highlight the anomaly, while model consensus on the front’s timing and strength leaves little room for a warmer spike above 19 °C. Updated runs from agencies such as the National Meteorological Institute and regional ensembles will be the next key data points before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$429Enddatum
23. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 21, 2026, 8:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cold front will bring persistent cloud cover, southerly winds, and widespread rain to São Paulo on September 23, sharply limiting daytime heating after warmer conditions earlier in the week. Official guidance points to a maximum near 15–16 °C under these stable, moist conditions, consistent with the market’s heaviest volume on 16–18 °C outcomes. Historical September averages near 24 °C highlight the anomaly, while model consensus on the front’s timing and strength leaves little room for a warmer spike above 19 °C. Updated runs from agencies such as the National Meteorological Institute and regional ensembles will be the next key data points before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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