Singapore's equatorial climate keeps typical July daily maxima near 31–33°C under southwest monsoon flow, with afternoon thundery showers and variable cloud cover the main controls on peak temperature. Recent NEA guidance highlights localized convective activity that can cap highs near 31°C on overcast days while allowing brief clears to reach 32–34°C; any strengthening El Niño signal adds a modest warming bias through reduced rainfall. With only 48 hours until July 23, traders weigh the latest high-resolution model runs on boundary-layer moisture and timing of Sumatra squalls, which explain why implied odds cluster tightly around 30–32°C rather than extremes. Updated forecasts from MSS and global ensembles will likely shift probabilities before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Singapur am 23. Juli?
31°C 46%
32°C 34%
30°C 15%
33°C 8%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
15%
31°C
46%
32°C
34%
33°C
8%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 46%
32°C 34%
30°C 15%
33°C 8%
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
15%
31°C
46%
32°C
34%
33°C
8%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Singapore's equatorial climate keeps typical July daily maxima near 31–33°C under southwest monsoon flow, with afternoon thundery showers and variable cloud cover the main controls on peak temperature. Recent NEA guidance highlights localized convective activity that can cap highs near 31°C on overcast days while allowing brief clears to reach 32–34°C; any strengthening El Niño signal adds a modest warming bias through reduced rainfall. With only 48 hours until July 23, traders weigh the latest high-resolution model runs on boundary-layer moisture and timing of Sumatra squalls, which explain why implied odds cluster tightly around 30–32°C rather than extremes. Updated forecasts from MSS and global ensembles will likely shift probabilities before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert



Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen