Recent short-range forecast consensus from the UK Met Office, AccuWeather, and regional Mediterranean models points to a daytime maximum of 32–33°C in coastal Tel Aviv on August 20 under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and typical late-summer sea-breeze moderation from the Mediterranean. These conditions, aligned with climatological August averages near 31–32°C and recent stable observations of 31–33°C, underpin the market's strong 62% implied probability for 33°C. Light westerly winds and minimal ensemble spread limit upside risks for 34°C or higher, while the absence of heatwave signals keeps lower outcomes like 32°C at 22%. Updated model runs ahead of final verification continue to reinforce this narrow range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 20. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 20. August?
32°C 52%
33°C 46%
34°C 9%
31°C 4%
NEU
NEU
20. Aug. 2026
29°C or below
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
4%
32°C
52%
33°C
46%
34°C
9%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
32°C 52%
33°C 46%
34°C 9%
31°C 4%
NEU
NEU
20. Aug. 2026
29°C or below
$10 Vol.
1%
30°C
$15 Vol.
1%
31°C
$169 Vol.
4%
32°C
$234 Vol.
52%
33°C
$281 Vol.
46%
34°C
$112 Vol.
9%
35°C
$32 Vol.
1%
36°C
$10 Vol.
1%
37°C
$10 Vol.
1%
38°C
$5 Vol.
1%
39°C or higher
$178 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast consensus from the UK Met Office, AccuWeather, and regional Mediterranean models points to a daytime maximum of 32–33°C in coastal Tel Aviv on August 20 under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and typical late-summer sea-breeze moderation from the Mediterranean. These conditions, aligned with climatological August averages near 31–32°C and recent stable observations of 31–33°C, underpin the market's strong 62% implied probability for 33°C. Light westerly winds and minimal ensemble spread limit upside risks for 34°C or higher, while the absence of heatwave signals keeps lower outcomes like 32°C at 22%. Updated model runs ahead of final verification continue to reinforce this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$277Enddatum
20. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast consensus from the UK Met Office, AccuWeather, and regional Mediterranean models points to a daytime maximum of 32–33°C in coastal Tel Aviv on August 20 under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and typical late-summer sea-breeze moderation from the Mediterranean. These conditions, aligned with climatological August averages near 31–32°C and recent stable observations of 31–33°C, underpin the market's strong 62% implied probability for 33°C. Light westerly winds and minimal ensemble spread limit upside risks for 34°C or higher, while the absence of heatwave signals keeps lower outcomes like 32°C at 22%. Updated model runs ahead of final verification continue to reinforce this narrow range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$277Enddatum
20. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecast consensus from the UK Met Office, AccuWeather, and regional Mediterranean models points to a daytime maximum of 32–33°C in coastal Tel Aviv on August 20 under persistent subtropical high pressure, clear skies, and typical late-summer sea-breeze moderation from the Mediterranean. These conditions, aligned with climatological August averages near 31–32°C and recent stable observations of 31–33°C, underpin the market's strong 62% implied probability for 33°C. Light westerly winds and minimal ensemble spread limit upside risks for 34°C or higher, while the absence of heatwave signals keeps lower outcomes like 32°C at 22%. Updated model runs ahead of final verification continue to reinforce this narrow range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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