Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate project Tel Aviv highs near 33–34°C on July 23, driven by typical mid-summer Mediterranean conditions with strong solar heating, minimal cloud cover, and variable sea-breeze moderation from the Mediterranean. Recent July observations show daily maxima clustering around 31°C under similar synoptic patterns, supporting the market’s heavy weighting on the 33°C (32.5%) and 34°C (52.5%) brackets while allowing modest probability for 32°C or 35°C outcomes. Two-day forecast uncertainty stems from possible shifts in the subtropical ridge or local wind patterns that could alter peak readings by 1–2°C, with resolution based on official station data such as Ben Gurion Airport observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 23. Juli?
34°C 46%
33°C 33%
35°C 14.9%
32°C 4.2%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
4%
33°C
33%
34°C
46%
35°C
15%
36°C
1%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
34°C 46%
33°C 33%
35°C 14.9%
32°C 4.2%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
4%
33°C
33%
34°C
46%
35°C
15%
36°C
1%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and timeanddate project Tel Aviv highs near 33–34°C on July 23, driven by typical mid-summer Mediterranean conditions with strong solar heating, minimal cloud cover, and variable sea-breeze moderation from the Mediterranean. Recent July observations show daily maxima clustering around 31°C under similar synoptic patterns, supporting the market’s heavy weighting on the 33°C (32.5%) and 34°C (52.5%) brackets while allowing modest probability for 32°C or 35°C outcomes. Two-day forecast uncertainty stems from possible shifts in the subtropical ridge or local wind patterns that could alter peak readings by 1–2°C, with resolution based on official station data such as Ben Gurion Airport observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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