Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and observational data indicate a high of 29°C for Tokyo on August 12, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and a moderating marine influence that limits daytime heating under typical August humidity levels above 70%. This aligns with climatological baselines for mid-August, where urban heat island effects and regional pressure patterns rarely push extremes without clear-sky amplification. Trader consensus at 100% reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range models, with minimal divergence expected before resolution. A sudden shift to prolonged sunshine or delayed frontal passage could elevate readings toward 31–32°C, though current conditions make such outcomes unlikely.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tokio am 12. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Tokio am 12. August?
29°C 100.0%
23°C oder weniger <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$132,749 Vol.
$132,749 Vol.
12. Aug. 2026
23°C oder weniger
Nein
24°C
Nein
25°C
Nein
26°C
Nein
27°C
Nein
28°C
Nein
29°C
Ja
30°C
Nein
31°C
Nein
32°C
Nein
33°C oder höher
Nein
29°C 100.0%
23°C oder weniger <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$132,749 Vol.
$132,749 Vol.
12. Aug. 2026
23°C oder weniger
$2,038 Vol.
Nein
24°C
$6,178 Vol.
Nein
25°C
$12,885 Vol.
Nein
26°C
$11,674 Vol.
Nein
27°C
$14,536 Vol.
Nein
28°C
$15,427 Vol.
Nein
29°C
$18,492 Vol.
Ja
30°C
$20,061 Vol.
Nein
31°C
$15,348 Vol.
Nein
32°C
$8,278 Vol.
Nein
33°C oder höher
$7,831 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and observational data indicate a high of 29°C for Tokyo on August 12, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and a moderating marine influence that limits daytime heating under typical August humidity levels above 70%. This aligns with climatological baselines for mid-August, where urban heat island effects and regional pressure patterns rarely push extremes without clear-sky amplification. Trader consensus at 100% reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range models, with minimal divergence expected before resolution. A sudden shift to prolonged sunshine or delayed frontal passage could elevate readings toward 31–32°C, though current conditions make such outcomes unlikely.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volumen
$132,749Enddatum
12. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and observational data indicate a high of 29°C for Tokyo on August 12, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and a moderating marine influence that limits daytime heating under typical August humidity levels above 70%. This aligns with climatological baselines for mid-August, where urban heat island effects and regional pressure patterns rarely push extremes without clear-sky amplification. Trader consensus at 100% reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range models, with minimal divergence expected before resolution. A sudden shift to prolonged sunshine or delayed frontal passage could elevate readings toward 31–32°C, though current conditions make such outcomes unlikely.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$132,749Enddatum
12. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Official Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and observational data indicate a high of 29°C for Tokyo on August 12, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, scattered showers, and a moderating marine influence that limits daytime heating under typical August humidity levels above 70%. This aligns with climatological baselines for mid-August, where urban heat island effects and regional pressure patterns rarely push extremes without clear-sky amplification. Trader consensus at 100% reflects the narrow uncertainty range in short-range models, with minimal divergence expected before resolution. A sudden shift to prolonged sunshine or delayed frontal passage could elevate readings toward 31–32°C, though current conditions make such outcomes unlikely.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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