**Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a Monday high in Austin near the upper 90s, with most runs showing 96–100 °F under partly to mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow.** Persistent late-summer warmth, modest afternoon mixing, and minimal cloud cover are the main drivers keeping probabilities concentrated on 96–99 °F. The narrow spread between the two leading bins reflects model-to-model differences in exact timing of any clearing and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift peak readings by a degree or two. With no strong frontal passage or widespread convection expected, the primary uncertainty remains how much daytime heating is realized versus suppressed by scattered afternoon clouds or very light showers. Updated NWS and high-resolution model runs through tonight will refine the final range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Austin am 21. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Austin am 21. September?
98-99°F 45%
96-97°F 36%
100-101°F 10%
94-95°F 5%
NEU
NEU
21. Sep. 2026
89°F oder darunter
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
36%
98-99°F
45%
100-101°F
10%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
1%
108°F oder höher
<1%
98-99°F 45%
96-97°F 36%
100-101°F 10%
94-95°F 5%
NEU
NEU
21. Sep. 2026
89°F oder darunter
$111 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$227 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$142 Vol.
2%
94-95°F
$312 Vol.
5%
96-97°F
$349 Vol.
36%
98-99°F
$505 Vol.
45%
100-101°F
$279 Vol.
10%
102-103°F
$32 Vol.
2%
104-105°F
$127 Vol.
<1%
106-107°F
$252 Vol.
1%
108°F oder höher
$111 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a Monday high in Austin near the upper 90s, with most runs showing 96–100 °F under partly to mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow.** Persistent late-summer warmth, modest afternoon mixing, and minimal cloud cover are the main drivers keeping probabilities concentrated on 96–99 °F. The narrow spread between the two leading bins reflects model-to-model differences in exact timing of any clearing and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift peak readings by a degree or two. With no strong frontal passage or widespread convection expected, the primary uncertainty remains how much daytime heating is realized versus suppressed by scattered afternoon clouds or very light showers. Updated NWS and high-resolution model runs through tonight will refine the final range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 19, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volumen
$2,448Enddatum
21. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 19, 2026, 3:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a Monday high in Austin near the upper 90s, with most runs showing 96–100 °F under partly to mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow.** Persistent late-summer warmth, modest afternoon mixing, and minimal cloud cover are the main drivers keeping probabilities concentrated on 96–99 °F. The narrow spread between the two leading bins reflects model-to-model differences in exact timing of any clearing and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift peak readings by a degree or two. With no strong frontal passage or widespread convection expected, the primary uncertainty remains how much daytime heating is realized versus suppressed by scattered afternoon clouds or very light showers. Updated NWS and high-resolution model runs through tonight will refine the final range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$2,448Enddatum
21. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 19, 2026, 3:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Recent National Weather Service and private model guidance points to a Monday high in Austin near the upper 90s, with most runs showing 96–100 °F under partly to mostly sunny skies and light southerly flow.** Persistent late-summer warmth, modest afternoon mixing, and minimal cloud cover are the main drivers keeping probabilities concentrated on 96–99 °F. The narrow spread between the two leading bins reflects model-to-model differences in exact timing of any clearing and boundary-layer moisture, which can shift peak readings by a degree or two. With no strong frontal passage or widespread convection expected, the primary uncertainty remains how much daytime heating is realized versus suppressed by scattered afternoon clouds or very light showers. Updated NWS and high-resolution model runs through tonight will refine the final range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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