Current meteorological forecasts for Manila on September 20, 2026, show a daily maximum near 32°C amid the southwest monsoon, with scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 80%, and light winds limiting peak heating. This aligns with September climatology of 31–32°C average highs and positions the 33°C outcome as the market leader at 71.5% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on modest warming within the tropical air mass. Cloud cover and precipitation timing introduce uncertainty that could cap readings at 32°C or briefly allow 34°C, consistent with model spreads and historical variability. Real-time observations through the afternoon will resolve the exact peak.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Manila am 20. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Manila am 20. September?
33°C 83%
34°C 10%
32°C 7.3%
28°C oder niedriger <1%
$45,961 Vol.
$45,961 Vol.
20. Sep. 2026
28°C oder niedriger
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
10%
33°C
83%
34°C
14%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C oder höher
<1%
33°C 83%
34°C 10%
32°C 7.3%
28°C oder niedriger <1%
$45,961 Vol.
$45,961 Vol.
20. Sep. 2026
28°C oder niedriger
$425 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$945 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$1,605 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$11,991 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$14,367 Vol.
10%
33°C
$9,047 Vol.
83%
34°C
$4,088 Vol.
14%
35°C
$2,779 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$416 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$117 Vol.
<1%
38°C oder höher
$181 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Manila on September 20, 2026, show a daily maximum near 32°C amid the southwest monsoon, with scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 80%, and light winds limiting peak heating. This aligns with September climatology of 31–32°C average highs and positions the 33°C outcome as the market leader at 71.5% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on modest warming within the tropical air mass. Cloud cover and precipitation timing introduce uncertainty that could cap readings at 32°C or briefly allow 34°C, consistent with model spreads and historical variability. Real-time observations through the afternoon will resolve the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ET
Volumen
$45,961Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current meteorological forecasts for Manila on September 20, 2026, show a daily maximum near 32°C amid the southwest monsoon, with scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 80%, and light winds limiting peak heating. This aligns with September climatology of 31–32°C average highs and positions the 33°C outcome as the market leader at 71.5% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on modest warming within the tropical air mass. Cloud cover and precipitation timing introduce uncertainty that could cap readings at 32°C or briefly allow 34°C, consistent with model spreads and historical variability. Real-time observations through the afternoon will resolve the exact peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$45,961Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 18, 2026, 12:59 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts for Manila on September 20, 2026, show a daily maximum near 32°C amid the southwest monsoon, with scattered thunderstorms, high humidity near 80%, and light winds limiting peak heating. This aligns with September climatology of 31–32°C average highs and positions the 33°C outcome as the market leader at 71.5% implied probability, reflecting trader consensus on modest warming within the tropical air mass. Cloud cover and precipitation timing introduce uncertainty that could cap readings at 32°C or briefly allow 34°C, consistent with model spreads and historical variability. Real-time observations through the afternoon will resolve the exact peak.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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