Current high-resolution forecasts from AEMET, ECMWF, and GFS models indicate clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and strong subsidence under a persistent high-pressure ridge, positioning Madrid’s maximum temperature on September 22 near 32–34°C. This late-September warm anomaly exceeds seasonal averages by several degrees, with afternoon peaks favored by minimal humidity and high solar insolation. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 34°C while leaving limited room for a 35°C outlier if boundary-layer mixing strengthens. Traders are monitoring the next AEMET update and 00z model runs for any late adjustments to the thermal profile before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Madrid am 22. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Madrid am 22. September?
34°C 64%
33°C 27%
35°C 7%
32°C 5%
NEU
NEU
22. Sep. 2026
28°C oder darunter
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
4%
32°C
5%
33°C
27%
34°C
64%
35°C
7%
36°C
3%
37°C
2%
38°C oder höher
1%
34°C 64%
33°C 27%
35°C 7%
32°C 5%
NEU
NEU
22. Sep. 2026
28°C oder darunter
$15 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$100 Vol.
1%
30°C
$0 Vol.
3%
31°C
$15 Vol.
4%
32°C
$42 Vol.
5%
33°C
$287 Vol.
27%
34°C
$230 Vol.
64%
35°C
$15 Vol.
7%
36°C
$37 Vol.
3%
37°C
$62 Vol.
2%
38°C oder höher
$11 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current high-resolution forecasts from AEMET, ECMWF, and GFS models indicate clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and strong subsidence under a persistent high-pressure ridge, positioning Madrid’s maximum temperature on September 22 near 32–34°C. This late-September warm anomaly exceeds seasonal averages by several degrees, with afternoon peaks favored by minimal humidity and high solar insolation. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 34°C while leaving limited room for a 35°C outlier if boundary-layer mixing strengthens. Traders are monitoring the next AEMET update and 00z model runs for any late adjustments to the thermal profile before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$771Enddatum
22. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current high-resolution forecasts from AEMET, ECMWF, and GFS models indicate clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and strong subsidence under a persistent high-pressure ridge, positioning Madrid’s maximum temperature on September 22 near 32–34°C. This late-September warm anomaly exceeds seasonal averages by several degrees, with afternoon peaks favored by minimal humidity and high solar insolation. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 34°C while leaving limited room for a 35°C outlier if boundary-layer mixing strengthens. Traders are monitoring the next AEMET update and 00z model runs for any late adjustments to the thermal profile before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$771Enddatum
22. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current high-resolution forecasts from AEMET, ECMWF, and GFS models indicate clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and strong subsidence under a persistent high-pressure ridge, positioning Madrid’s maximum temperature on September 22 near 32–34°C. This late-September warm anomaly exceeds seasonal averages by several degrees, with afternoon peaks favored by minimal humidity and high solar insolation. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 34°C while leaving limited room for a 35°C outlier if boundary-layer mixing strengthens. Traders are monitoring the next AEMET update and 00z model runs for any late adjustments to the thermal profile before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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