Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Wuhan’s September 22 high will likely fall in the 24–26 °C range, with widespread cloud cover, scattered rain or thunderstorms, and light northerly winds limiting daytime heating. High humidity near 80 % and reduced solar insolation under overcast skies suppress maximum temperatures below the seasonal average of roughly 28–30 °C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with some runs favoring 23 °C under heavier precipitation while others allow brief clearing to reach 26 °C. This uncertainty, combined with the short time to resolution, keeps the four central outcomes tightly bunched in trader pricing. Updated official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration on September 21–22 will be the key data release likely to shift probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wuhan am 22. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Wuhan am 22. September?
24°C 28%
23°C 25%
25°C 25%
26°C 18%
NEU
NEU
22. Sep. 2026
21°C oder darunter
3%
22°C
11%
23°C
25%
24°C
28%
25°C
25%
26°C
18%
27°C
5%
28°C
9%
29°C
5%
30°C
<1%
31°C oder höher
<1%
24°C 28%
23°C 25%
25°C 25%
26°C 18%
NEU
NEU
22. Sep. 2026
21°C oder darunter
$11 Vol.
3%
22°C
$24 Vol.
11%
23°C
$111 Vol.
25%
24°C
$27 Vol.
28%
25°C
$22 Vol.
25%
26°C
$28 Vol.
18%
27°C
$66 Vol.
5%
28°C
$42 Vol.
9%
29°C
$62 Vol.
5%
30°C
$56 Vol.
<1%
31°C oder höher
$31 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Wuhan’s September 22 high will likely fall in the 24–26 °C range, with widespread cloud cover, scattered rain or thunderstorms, and light northerly winds limiting daytime heating. High humidity near 80 % and reduced solar insolation under overcast skies suppress maximum temperatures below the seasonal average of roughly 28–30 °C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with some runs favoring 23 °C under heavier precipitation while others allow brief clearing to reach 26 °C. This uncertainty, combined with the short time to resolution, keeps the four central outcomes tightly bunched in trader pricing. Updated official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration on September 21–22 will be the key data release likely to shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$479Enddatum
22. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Wuhan’s September 22 high will likely fall in the 24–26 °C range, with widespread cloud cover, scattered rain or thunderstorms, and light northerly winds limiting daytime heating. High humidity near 80 % and reduced solar insolation under overcast skies suppress maximum temperatures below the seasonal average of roughly 28–30 °C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with some runs favoring 23 °C under heavier precipitation while others allow brief clearing to reach 26 °C. This uncertainty, combined with the short time to resolution, keeps the four central outcomes tightly bunched in trader pricing. Updated official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration on September 21–22 will be the key data release likely to shift probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$479Enddatum
22. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 20, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Wuhan’s September 22 high will likely fall in the 24–26 °C range, with widespread cloud cover, scattered rain or thunderstorms, and light northerly winds limiting daytime heating. High humidity near 80 % and reduced solar insolation under overcast skies suppress maximum temperatures below the seasonal average of roughly 28–30 °C. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread, with some runs favoring 23 °C under heavier precipitation while others allow brief clearing to reach 26 °C. This uncertainty, combined with the short time to resolution, keeps the four central outcomes tightly bunched in trader pricing. Updated official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration on September 21–22 will be the key data release likely to shift probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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