Recent official forecasts and ensemble model runs from the Turkish Meteorological Service and European centers indicate a maximum temperature of 24–25°C in Istanbul on September 20 under mostly sunny skies and persistent northeasterly flow. This consensus, reinforced by current conditions near 23°C with building high pressure, underpins the 55% market-implied probability for 24°C as the leading outcome. Minor model spread around afternoon peaks, typical for short-range temperature predictions, supports secondary probabilities for 23°C and 25°C while limiting upside risk above 26°C ahead of the expected cooling trend later in the week. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies will refine resolution thresholds before the daily maximum is recorded.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 20. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Istanbul am 20. September?
24°C 56%
25°C 23%
23°C 14%
22°C 10%
NEU
NEU
20. Sep. 2026
20°C oder niedriger
<1%
21°C
3%
22°C
10%
23°C
14%
24°C
56%
25°C
23%
26°C
7%
27°C
3%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C oder höher
<1%
24°C 56%
25°C 23%
23°C 14%
22°C 10%
NEU
NEU
20. Sep. 2026
20°C oder niedriger
$96 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$27 Vol.
3%
22°C
$7 Vol.
10%
23°C
$11 Vol.
14%
24°C
$179 Vol.
56%
25°C
$92 Vol.
23%
26°C
$140 Vol.
7%
27°C
$22 Vol.
3%
28°C
$0 Vol.
2%
29°C
$0 Vol.
2%
30°C oder höher
$171 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and ensemble model runs from the Turkish Meteorological Service and European centers indicate a maximum temperature of 24–25°C in Istanbul on September 20 under mostly sunny skies and persistent northeasterly flow. This consensus, reinforced by current conditions near 23°C with building high pressure, underpins the 55% market-implied probability for 24°C as the leading outcome. Minor model spread around afternoon peaks, typical for short-range temperature predictions, supports secondary probabilities for 23°C and 25°C while limiting upside risk above 26°C ahead of the expected cooling trend later in the week. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies will refine resolution thresholds before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$745Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts and ensemble model runs from the Turkish Meteorological Service and European centers indicate a maximum temperature of 24–25°C in Istanbul on September 20 under mostly sunny skies and persistent northeasterly flow. This consensus, reinforced by current conditions near 23°C with building high pressure, underpins the 55% market-implied probability for 24°C as the leading outcome. Minor model spread around afternoon peaks, typical for short-range temperature predictions, supports secondary probabilities for 23°C and 25°C while limiting upside risk above 26°C ahead of the expected cooling trend later in the week. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies will refine resolution thresholds before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$745Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 18, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts and ensemble model runs from the Turkish Meteorological Service and European centers indicate a maximum temperature of 24–25°C in Istanbul on September 20 under mostly sunny skies and persistent northeasterly flow. This consensus, reinforced by current conditions near 23°C with building high pressure, underpins the 55% market-implied probability for 24°C as the leading outcome. Minor model spread around afternoon peaks, typical for short-range temperature predictions, supports secondary probabilities for 23°C and 25°C while limiting upside risk above 26°C ahead of the expected cooling trend later in the week. Updated guidance from monitoring agencies will refine resolution thresholds before the daily maximum is recorded.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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