Mexico City's high elevation near 2,240 meters promotes radiative cooling overnight, but persistent cloud cover, light winds, and scattered drizzle or chubascos on September 20 have moderated temperature drops. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and multiple forecast models converge on a minimum of 13–15°C, with hourly data showing early-morning readings stabilizing near 14°C under overcast skies that reduce heat loss. This consensus supports the strong market-implied probability for 13°C while leaving room for slight downward revisions to 12°C if clearer pockets develop. Historical September averages around 13°C provide additional context, though model spread and measurement site differences introduce uncertainty for thresholds below 12°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 20. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 20. September?
13°C 99%
7°C oder weniger 95%
12°C 95%
11°C 94%
$924 Vol.
$924 Vol.
20. Sep. 2026
7°C oder weniger
95%
8°C
14%
9°C
11%
10°C
13%
11°C
94%
12°C
95%
13°C
99%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C oder höher
<1%
13°C 99%
7°C oder weniger 95%
12°C 95%
11°C 94%
$924 Vol.
$924 Vol.
20. Sep. 2026
7°C oder weniger
$0 Vol.
95%
8°C
$0 Vol.
14%
9°C
$0 Vol.
11%
10°C
$0 Vol.
13%
11°C
$0 Vol.
94%
12°C
$0 Vol.
95%
13°C
$210 Vol.
99%
14°C
$139 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$349 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$204 Vol.
<1%
17°C oder höher
$22 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high elevation near 2,240 meters promotes radiative cooling overnight, but persistent cloud cover, light winds, and scattered drizzle or chubascos on September 20 have moderated temperature drops. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and multiple forecast models converge on a minimum of 13–15°C, with hourly data showing early-morning readings stabilizing near 14°C under overcast skies that reduce heat loss. This consensus supports the strong market-implied probability for 13°C while leaving room for slight downward revisions to 12°C if clearer pockets develop. Historical September averages around 13°C provide additional context, though model spread and measurement site differences introduce uncertainty for thresholds below 12°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 18, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volumen
$924Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 18, 2026, 8:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high elevation near 2,240 meters promotes radiative cooling overnight, but persistent cloud cover, light winds, and scattered drizzle or chubascos on September 20 have moderated temperature drops. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and multiple forecast models converge on a minimum of 13–15°C, with hourly data showing early-morning readings stabilizing near 14°C under overcast skies that reduce heat loss. This consensus supports the strong market-implied probability for 13°C while leaving room for slight downward revisions to 12°C if clearer pockets develop. Historical September averages around 13°C provide additional context, though model spread and measurement site differences introduce uncertainty for thresholds below 12°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$924Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 18, 2026, 8:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Mexico City's high elevation near 2,240 meters promotes radiative cooling overnight, but persistent cloud cover, light winds, and scattered drizzle or chubascos on September 20 have moderated temperature drops. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance and multiple forecast models converge on a minimum of 13–15°C, with hourly data showing early-morning readings stabilizing near 14°C under overcast skies that reduce heat loss. This consensus supports the strong market-implied probability for 13°C while leaving room for slight downward revisions to 12°C if clearer pockets develop. Historical September averages around 13°C provide additional context, though model spread and measurement site differences introduce uncertainty for thresholds below 12°C.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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