Recent ECMWF and GFS model runs indicate Milan overnight lows near 16–18 °C on 20 September under building high pressure, yet ensemble spreads allow for either enhanced radiative cooling under clear, calm conditions or modest warm advection that could keep minima above 19 °C. Trader sentiment remains balanced because nocturnal temperature minima are highly sensitive to small changes in low-level wind, cloud cover, and boundary-layer moisture—variables that diverge across model physics even 48 hours out. Historical September climatology places average lows near 15 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal while still permitting a tail risk of sharper cooling if winds decouple fully. Updated model cycles and observational data from the Po Valley will likely narrow the distribution before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Mailand am 20. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Mailand am 20. September?
20°C oder höher 78%
10°C oder weniger 77%
11°C 39%
12°C 39%
NEU
NEU
20. Sep. 2026
10°C oder weniger
77%
11°C
39%
12°C
39%
13°C
39%
14°C
21%
15°C
26%
16°C
27%
17°C
29%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C oder höher
78%
20°C oder höher 78%
10°C oder weniger 77%
11°C 39%
12°C 39%
NEU
NEU
20. Sep. 2026
10°C oder weniger
$0 Vol.
77%
11°C
$0 Vol.
39%
12°C
$0 Vol.
39%
13°C
$0 Vol.
39%
14°C
$0 Vol.
21%
15°C
$0 Vol.
26%
16°C
$0 Vol.
27%
17°C
$0 Vol.
29%
18°C
$0 Vol.
39%
19°C
$0 Vol.
39%
20°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
78%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ECMWF and GFS model runs indicate Milan overnight lows near 16–18 °C on 20 September under building high pressure, yet ensemble spreads allow for either enhanced radiative cooling under clear, calm conditions or modest warm advection that could keep minima above 19 °C. Trader sentiment remains balanced because nocturnal temperature minima are highly sensitive to small changes in low-level wind, cloud cover, and boundary-layer moisture—variables that diverge across model physics even 48 hours out. Historical September climatology places average lows near 15 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal while still permitting a tail risk of sharper cooling if winds decouple fully. Updated model cycles and observational data from the Po Valley will likely narrow the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ECMWF and GFS model runs indicate Milan overnight lows near 16–18 °C on 20 September under building high pressure, yet ensemble spreads allow for either enhanced radiative cooling under clear, calm conditions or modest warm advection that could keep minima above 19 °C. Trader sentiment remains balanced because nocturnal temperature minima are highly sensitive to small changes in low-level wind, cloud cover, and boundary-layer moisture—variables that diverge across model physics even 48 hours out. Historical September climatology places average lows near 15 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal while still permitting a tail risk of sharper cooling if winds decouple fully. Updated model cycles and observational data from the Po Valley will likely narrow the distribution before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
20. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 18, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent ECMWF and GFS model runs indicate Milan overnight lows near 16–18 °C on 20 September under building high pressure, yet ensemble spreads allow for either enhanced radiative cooling under clear, calm conditions or modest warm advection that could keep minima above 19 °C. Trader sentiment remains balanced because nocturnal temperature minima are highly sensitive to small changes in low-level wind, cloud cover, and boundary-layer moisture—variables that diverge across model physics even 48 hours out. Historical September climatology places average lows near 15 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above normal while still permitting a tail risk of sharper cooling if winds decouple fully. Updated model cycles and observational data from the Po Valley will likely narrow the distribution before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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