Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance indicate a low near 74–76°F for Austin on September 20 under persistent high pressure, southerly flow, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiational cooling. Trader emphasis on 70–73°F brackets reflects model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds overnight, plus historical September variability where lows can dip several degrees below guidance when clear skies and lighter winds align. With no cold front or significant cloud cover expected to alter the pattern before resolution, the market-implied odds capture the narrow but real uncertainty range in minimum temperature forecasts typical for late-summer conditions in central Texas.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Austin am 20. September?
74-75°F 40%
68-69°F 39%
70-71 °F 30%
72-73°F 30%
65°F oder darunter
7%
66-67°F
11%
68-69°F
39%
70-71 °F
30%
72-73°F
30%
74-75°F
40%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
5%
84°F oder höher
5%
74-75°F 40%
68-69°F 39%
70-71 °F 30%
72-73°F 30%
65°F oder darunter
7%
66-67°F
11%
68-69°F
39%
70-71 °F
30%
72-73°F
30%
74-75°F
40%
76-77°F
19%
78-79°F
11%
80-81°F
7%
82-83°F
5%
84°F oder höher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 18, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble guidance indicate a low near 74–76°F for Austin on September 20 under persistent high pressure, southerly flow, and partly cloudy skies that limit radiational cooling. Trader emphasis on 70–73°F brackets reflects model spread in boundary-layer moisture and wind speeds overnight, plus historical September variability where lows can dip several degrees below guidance when clear skies and lighter winds align. With no cold front or significant cloud cover expected to alter the pattern before resolution, the market-implied odds capture the narrow but real uncertainty range in minimum temperature forecasts typical for late-summer conditions in central Texas.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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