Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a modest cooling trend for Busan on September 18, with daytime highs most likely in the 24–26°C range amid increasing cloud cover, northeasterly winds, and a 20–40% chance of light rain or drizzle. These conditions reduce solar heating and introduce marine influence that limits peak temperatures compared with the clearer, warmer days earlier in the week. Historical September averages near 25–26°C provide context, while short-term model spreads and potential shifts in cloud thickness or wind speed explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 23–27°C. Updated runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will further refine resolution criteria based on official daily maximum observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Busan am 18. September?
24°C 40%
25°C 26%
23°C 22%
26°C 19%
21°C oder weniger
4%
22°C
14%
23°C
22%
24°C
40%
25°C
26%
26°C
19%
27°C
19%
28°C
9%
29°C
13%
30°C
2%
31°C oder höher
2%
24°C 40%
25°C 26%
23°C 22%
26°C 19%
21°C oder weniger
4%
22°C
14%
23°C
22%
24°C
40%
25°C
26%
26°C
19%
27°C
19%
28°C
9%
29°C
13%
30°C
2%
31°C oder höher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 16, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a modest cooling trend for Busan on September 18, with daytime highs most likely in the 24–26°C range amid increasing cloud cover, northeasterly winds, and a 20–40% chance of light rain or drizzle. These conditions reduce solar heating and introduce marine influence that limits peak temperatures compared with the clearer, warmer days earlier in the week. Historical September averages near 25–26°C provide context, while short-term model spreads and potential shifts in cloud thickness or wind speed explain the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 23–27°C. Updated runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles over the next 48 hours will further refine resolution criteria based on official daily maximum observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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