Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a highest temperature in Wuhan on September 16 most likely near 28°C, driven by increasing cloud cover, easterly winds, and light precipitation that limit daytime heating. Current conditions show surface highs around 30–32°C on September 14–15 under partly cloudy skies, with a modest cooling trend as a frontal boundary approaches and raises humidity levels, narrowing the diurnal temperature range. Historical September averages for the region hover near 27–29°C, providing context for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 27–29°C. Key variables include model consensus on cloud thickness and any convective development that could suppress peaks below 27°C or allow brief clearing to reach 30°C. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and new observational data will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Wuhan am 16. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Wuhan am 16. September?
29°C 23%
28°C 17%
27°C 16%
30°C 10%
NEU
NEU
16. Sep. 2026
22°C oder weniger
4%
23°C
4%
24°C
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
9%
27°C
16%
28°C
17%
29°C
23%
30°C
12%
31°C
8%
32°C oder höher
9%
29°C 23%
28°C 17%
27°C 16%
30°C 10%
NEU
NEU
16. Sep. 2026
22°C oder weniger
$0 Vol.
4%
23°C
$6 Vol.
4%
24°C
$6 Vol.
4%
25°C
$0 Vol.
4%
26°C
$20 Vol.
9%
27°C
$5 Vol.
16%
28°C
$224 Vol.
17%
29°C
$7 Vol.
23%
30°C
$10 Vol.
12%
31°C
$5 Vol.
8%
32°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a highest temperature in Wuhan on September 16 most likely near 28°C, driven by increasing cloud cover, easterly winds, and light precipitation that limit daytime heating. Current conditions show surface highs around 30–32°C on September 14–15 under partly cloudy skies, with a modest cooling trend as a frontal boundary approaches and raises humidity levels, narrowing the diurnal temperature range. Historical September averages for the region hover near 27–29°C, providing context for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 27–29°C. Key variables include model consensus on cloud thickness and any convective development that could suppress peaks below 27°C or allow brief clearing to reach 30°C. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and new observational data will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volumen
$283Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a highest temperature in Wuhan on September 16 most likely near 28°C, driven by increasing cloud cover, easterly winds, and light precipitation that limit daytime heating. Current conditions show surface highs around 30–32°C on September 14–15 under partly cloudy skies, with a modest cooling trend as a frontal boundary approaches and raises humidity levels, narrowing the diurnal temperature range. Historical September averages for the region hover near 27–29°C, providing context for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 27–29°C. Key variables include model consensus on cloud thickness and any convective development that could suppress peaks below 27°C or allow brief clearing to reach 30°C. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and new observational data will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$283Enddatum
16. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from global models indicate a highest temperature in Wuhan on September 16 most likely near 28°C, driven by increasing cloud cover, easterly winds, and light precipitation that limit daytime heating. Current conditions show surface highs around 30–32°C on September 14–15 under partly cloudy skies, with a modest cooling trend as a frontal boundary approaches and raises humidity levels, narrowing the diurnal temperature range. Historical September averages for the region hover near 27–29°C, providing context for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 27–29°C. Key variables include model consensus on cloud thickness and any convective development that could suppress peaks below 27°C or allow brief clearing to reach 30°C. Updated runs from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration and new observational data will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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