Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to post-frontal clearing and northwest flow bringing a cooler, drier air mass into the Northeast after Sunday rain, producing Monday highs centered in the mid-70s across New York City. Official forecasts for Central Park list a 76°F high with low humidity and light northwest winds, aligning closely with the market’s leading 76-77°F outcome at 56% implied probability. Limited model spread and the absence of late-season warmth or stalled fronts reduce upside risk, keeping 80°F-plus bins below 15% while supporting the 74-75°F tier at 23.5%. Updated short-range runs through the weekend will refine exact maxima before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in NYC am 14. September?
Höchste Temperatur in NYC am 14. September?
76-77°F 56%
72–73 °F 27%
70-71°F 26%
80-81°F 26%
NEU
NEU
14. Sep. 2026
65°F oder niedriger
1%
66-67°F
1%
20-21°C
3%
70-71°F
26%
72–73 °F
27%
74-75°F
22%
76-77°F
56%
78-79°F
19%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
22%
84°F oder höher
3%
76-77°F 56%
72–73 °F 27%
70-71°F 26%
80-81°F 26%
NEU
NEU
14. Sep. 2026
65°F oder niedriger
$1 Vol.
1%
66-67°F
$1 Vol.
1%
20-21°C
$0 Vol.
3%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
26%
72–73 °F
$0 Vol.
27%
74-75°F
$97 Vol.
22%
76-77°F
$598 Vol.
56%
78-79°F
$4 Vol.
19%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
26%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
22%
84°F oder höher
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to post-frontal clearing and northwest flow bringing a cooler, drier air mass into the Northeast after Sunday rain, producing Monday highs centered in the mid-70s across New York City. Official forecasts for Central Park list a 76°F high with low humidity and light northwest winds, aligning closely with the market’s leading 76-77°F outcome at 56% implied probability. Limited model spread and the absence of late-season warmth or stalled fronts reduce upside risk, keeping 80°F-plus bins below 15% while supporting the 74-75°F tier at 23.5%. Updated short-range runs through the weekend will refine exact maxima before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 12, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Volumen
$701Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 3:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to post-frontal clearing and northwest flow bringing a cooler, drier air mass into the Northeast after Sunday rain, producing Monday highs centered in the mid-70s across New York City. Official forecasts for Central Park list a 76°F high with low humidity and light northwest winds, aligning closely with the market’s leading 76-77°F outcome at 56% implied probability. Limited model spread and the absence of late-season warmth or stalled fronts reduce upside risk, keeping 80°F-plus bins below 15% while supporting the 74-75°F tier at 23.5%. Updated short-range runs through the weekend will refine exact maxima before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$701Enddatum
14. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 12, 2026, 3:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to post-frontal clearing and northwest flow bringing a cooler, drier air mass into the Northeast after Sunday rain, producing Monday highs centered in the mid-70s across New York City. Official forecasts for Central Park list a 76°F high with low humidity and light northwest winds, aligning closely with the market’s leading 76-77°F outcome at 56% implied probability. Limited model spread and the absence of late-season warmth or stalled fronts reduce upside risk, keeping 80°F-plus bins below 15% while supporting the 74-75°F tier at 23.5%. Updated short-range runs through the weekend will refine exact maxima before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen