Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting models indicate mostly clear skies and light variable winds over Beijing for September 12, favoring daytime heating to a maximum near 28–29°C under stable high pressure. This aligns with climatological norms slightly above the long-term average high of 27.1°C for the date, with minimal cloud cover and no significant frontal systems expected to alter the diurnal temperature curve. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, though small differences in peak timing, boundary-layer mixing, or localized urban effects create the observed market dispersion across 27–30°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Peking am 12. September?
29°C 39%
28°C 28%
30°C 26%
27°C 11%
24°C oder darunter
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
11%
28°C
28%
29°C
39%
30°C
29%
31°C
8%
32°C
4%
33°C
3%
34°C oder höher
4%
29°C 39%
28°C 28%
30°C 26%
27°C 11%
24°C oder darunter
4%
25°C
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
11%
28°C
28%
29°C
39%
30°C
29%
31°C
8%
32°C
4%
33°C
3%
34°C oder höher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 10, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and supporting models indicate mostly clear skies and light variable winds over Beijing for September 12, favoring daytime heating to a maximum near 28–29°C under stable high pressure. This aligns with climatological norms slightly above the long-term average high of 27.1°C for the date, with minimal cloud cover and no significant frontal systems expected to alter the diurnal temperature curve. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, though small differences in peak timing, boundary-layer mixing, or localized urban effects create the observed market dispersion across 27–30°C outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine the precise maximum.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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