Forecast models for Shanghai on September 10 show a consensus high near 28–29°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered light rain or showers expected, which may limit afternoon warming. Northerly to northeasterly winds of 5–15 km/h and moderate humidity around 60–70% support this range, consistent with typical early-September conditions in the Yangtze River Delta. Recent model runs from sources like GFS and ECMWF have held steady without major shifts, keeping the market-implied probability highest for 28°C at 45% while 29°C trails at 28.5%. Traders appear to weigh the chance of rain suppressing the peak slightly below the seasonal average. Updated local observations and any late-model adjustments could refine these odds before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 10. September?
28°C 45%
29°C 31%
27°C 17%
30°C 6%
$26,582 Vol.
$26,582 Vol.
25°C oder weniger
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
17%
28°C
45%
29°C
31%
30°C
6%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C oder höher
<1%
28°C 45%
29°C 31%
27°C 17%
30°C 6%
$26,582 Vol.
$26,582 Vol.
25°C oder weniger
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
17%
28°C
45%
29°C
31%
30°C
6%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Shanghai on September 10 show a consensus high near 28–29°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with scattered light rain or showers expected, which may limit afternoon warming. Northerly to northeasterly winds of 5–15 km/h and moderate humidity around 60–70% support this range, consistent with typical early-September conditions in the Yangtze River Delta. Recent model runs from sources like GFS and ECMWF have held steady without major shifts, keeping the market-implied probability highest for 28°C at 45% while 29°C trails at 28.5%. Traders appear to weigh the chance of rain suppressing the peak slightly below the seasonal average. Updated local observations and any late-model adjustments could refine these odds before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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