Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a post-frontal cool-down for September 11, with northwest winds advecting drier, cooler air behind a weak front, producing forecast highs centered on 78–80 °F for Central Park. This places the market’s leading 78–79 °F, 76–77 °F, and 80–81 °F bins in close contention, reflecting small differences in boundary-layer mixing, cloud cover, and exact timing of the coolest air mass. Historical September averages near 78 °F provide context, while the narrow spread of outcomes underscores limited forecast spread just 48 hours out. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion are the key near-term catalysts likely to shift implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in NYC am 11. September?
Höchste Temperatur in NYC am 11. September?
78-79°F 40%
76-77°F 39%
80-81°F 39%
82-83°F 20%
NEU
NEU
11. Sep. 2026
69°F oder darunter
1%
70-71°F
9%
72-73°F
11%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
39%
78-79°F
40%
80-81°F
39%
82-83°F
19%
84-85°F
16%
86-87°F
14%
88°F oder höher
15%
78-79°F 40%
76-77°F 39%
80-81°F 39%
82-83°F 20%
NEU
NEU
11. Sep. 2026
69°F oder darunter
$0 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
9%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
11%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
8%
76-77°F
$0 Vol.
39%
78-79°F
$0 Vol.
40%
80-81°F
$0 Vol.
39%
82-83°F
$0 Vol.
19%
84-85°F
$0 Vol.
16%
86-87°F
$0 Vol.
14%
88°F oder höher
$0 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a post-frontal cool-down for September 11, with northwest winds advecting drier, cooler air behind a weak front, producing forecast highs centered on 78–80 °F for Central Park. This places the market’s leading 78–79 °F, 76–77 °F, and 80–81 °F bins in close contention, reflecting small differences in boundary-layer mixing, cloud cover, and exact timing of the coolest air mass. Historical September averages near 78 °F provide context, while the narrow spread of outcomes underscores limited forecast spread just 48 hours out. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion are the key near-term catalysts likely to shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 9, 2026, 3:55 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
11. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 9, 2026, 3:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a post-frontal cool-down for September 11, with northwest winds advecting drier, cooler air behind a weak front, producing forecast highs centered on 78–80 °F for Central Park. This places the market’s leading 78–79 °F, 76–77 °F, and 80–81 °F bins in close contention, reflecting small differences in boundary-layer mixing, cloud cover, and exact timing of the coolest air mass. Historical September averages near 78 °F provide context, while the narrow spread of outcomes underscores limited forecast spread just 48 hours out. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion are the key near-term catalysts likely to shift implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
11. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 9, 2026, 3:55 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a post-frontal cool-down for September 11, with northwest winds advecting drier, cooler air behind a weak front, producing forecast highs centered on 78–80 °F for Central Park. This places the market’s leading 78–79 °F, 76–77 °F, and 80–81 °F bins in close contention, reflecting small differences in boundary-layer mixing, cloud cover, and exact timing of the coolest air mass. Historical September averages near 78 °F provide context, while the narrow spread of outcomes underscores limited forecast spread just 48 hours out. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion are the key near-term catalysts likely to shift implied probabilities.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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