Recent cold air and rainfall across Beijing through September 8 have suppressed temperatures, with official China Meteorological Administration guidance and multiple models now forecasting mostly sunny conditions and a daily maximum of 25–26 °C on September 9. Light northerly winds, low humidity near 30–40 %, and clear skies after frontal passage limit daytime heating, keeping values below the late-summer climatological average of 27.6 °C. Trader positioning aligns with this consensus, assigning the highest implied probability (55.5 %) to 26 °C while placing secondary weight on 27 °C (24 %) and 25 °C (16 %). Updated model runs and any last-minute adjustments to boundary-layer moisture will be the key near-term variables before the market resolves.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Peking am 9. September?
26°C 55%
27°C 22%
25°C 18%
24°C 5%
$20,953 Vol.
$20,953 Vol.
21°C oder darunter
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
18%
26°C
55%
27°C
22%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C oder höher
<1%
26°C 55%
27°C 22%
25°C 18%
24°C 5%
$20,953 Vol.
$20,953 Vol.
21°C oder darunter
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
5%
25°C
18%
26°C
55%
27°C
22%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent cold air and rainfall across Beijing through September 8 have suppressed temperatures, with official China Meteorological Administration guidance and multiple models now forecasting mostly sunny conditions and a daily maximum of 25–26 °C on September 9. Light northerly winds, low humidity near 30–40 %, and clear skies after frontal passage limit daytime heating, keeping values below the late-summer climatological average of 27.6 °C. Trader positioning aligns with this consensus, assigning the highest implied probability (55.5 %) to 26 °C while placing secondary weight on 27 °C (24 %) and 25 °C (16 %). Updated model runs and any last-minute adjustments to boundary-layer moisture will be the key near-term variables before the market resolves.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen