Recent forecasts from multiple models point to clearing skies and sunny conditions over Beijing on September 10 following recent rainfall, supporting daytime highs near or slightly above the long-term average of 27.4°C. Light to moderate northerly or northwesterly winds and low humidity under high pressure favor efficient daytime heating, with consensus clustering around 28–30°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 29°C and 30°C most heavily, reflecting limited model spread and the absence of strong warming or cooling signals in the latest runs. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration could shift the distribution if afternoon cloud cover or wind shifts emerge before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Peking am 10. September?
30°C 43%
29°C 30%
28°C 18%
31°C 9%
24°C oder niedriger
3%
25°C
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
5%
28°C
13%
29°C
30%
30°C
43%
31°C
9%
32°C
3%
33°C
4%
34°C oder höher
3%
30°C 43%
29°C 30%
28°C 18%
31°C 9%
24°C oder niedriger
3%
25°C
4%
26°C
4%
27°C
5%
28°C
13%
29°C
30%
30°C
43%
31°C
9%
32°C
3%
33°C
4%
34°C oder höher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models point to clearing skies and sunny conditions over Beijing on September 10 following recent rainfall, supporting daytime highs near or slightly above the long-term average of 27.4°C. Light to moderate northerly or northwesterly winds and low humidity under high pressure favor efficient daytime heating, with consensus clustering around 28–30°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow spread between 29°C and 30°C most heavily, reflecting limited model spread and the absence of strong warming or cooling signals in the latest runs. Updated guidance from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration could shift the distribution if afternoon cloud cover or wind shifts emerge before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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