Current forecasts from agencies including China's Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a likely overnight low near 12–15°C for Beijing on September 10 under clear skies and light northerly flow, which supports elevated market-implied odds around the 11–13°C outcomes. Clear, dry conditions favor strong radiative cooling after daytime highs near 27–29°C, while variable model guidance on boundary-layer mixing and wind strength creates the observed spread, with 45% odds on 8°C or below reflecting potential for enhanced cooling under high pressure and 40% on 18°C or higher capturing warmer scenarios from southerly shifts. Historical September 10 lows average 17°C but have reached 7.7°C, underscoring natural variability traders weigh against the latest runs ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Peking am 10. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Peking am 10. September?
18°C oder höher 84%
8°C oder darunter 82%
14°C 39%
17°C 39%
NEU
NEU
10. Sep. 2026
8°C oder darunter
82%
9°C
17%
10°C
22%
11°C
23%
12°C
25%
13°C
22%
14°C
39%
15°C
21%
16°C
21%
17°C
39%
18°C oder höher
84%
18°C oder höher 84%
8°C oder darunter 82%
14°C 39%
17°C 39%
NEU
NEU
10. Sep. 2026
8°C oder darunter
$61 Vol.
82%
9°C
$10 Vol.
17%
10°C
$0 Vol.
22%
11°C
$0 Vol.
23%
12°C
$0 Vol.
25%
13°C
$0 Vol.
22%
14°C
$0 Vol.
39%
15°C
$0 Vol.
21%
16°C
$0 Vol.
21%
17°C
$0 Vol.
39%
18°C oder höher
$43 Vol.
84%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including China's Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a likely overnight low near 12–15°C for Beijing on September 10 under clear skies and light northerly flow, which supports elevated market-implied odds around the 11–13°C outcomes. Clear, dry conditions favor strong radiative cooling after daytime highs near 27–29°C, while variable model guidance on boundary-layer mixing and wind strength creates the observed spread, with 45% odds on 8°C or below reflecting potential for enhanced cooling under high pressure and 40% on 18°C or higher capturing warmer scenarios from southerly shifts. Historical September 10 lows average 17°C but have reached 7.7°C, underscoring natural variability traders weigh against the latest runs ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$114Enddatum
10. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including China's Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a likely overnight low near 12–15°C for Beijing on September 10 under clear skies and light northerly flow, which supports elevated market-implied odds around the 11–13°C outcomes. Clear, dry conditions favor strong radiative cooling after daytime highs near 27–29°C, while variable model guidance on boundary-layer mixing and wind strength creates the observed spread, with 45% odds on 8°C or below reflecting potential for enhanced cooling under high pressure and 40% on 18°C or higher capturing warmer scenarios from southerly shifts. Historical September 10 lows average 17°C but have reached 7.7°C, underscoring natural variability traders weigh against the latest runs ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$114Enddatum
10. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies including China's Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a likely overnight low near 12–15°C for Beijing on September 10 under clear skies and light northerly flow, which supports elevated market-implied odds around the 11–13°C outcomes. Clear, dry conditions favor strong radiative cooling after daytime highs near 27–29°C, while variable model guidance on boundary-layer mixing and wind strength creates the observed spread, with 45% odds on 8°C or below reflecting potential for enhanced cooling under high pressure and 40% on 18°C or higher capturing warmer scenarios from southerly shifts. Historical September 10 lows average 17°C but have reached 7.7°C, underscoring natural variability traders weigh against the latest runs ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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