**A persistent heat wave driven by strong high pressure and elevated humidity has positioned the National Weather Service forecast for a 96°F high in Los Angeles on September 10 as the dominant factor behind the 57% market-implied probability for 94°F or higher.** Official guidance highlights sunny conditions with heat indices potentially reaching 108°F amid the event’s peak, well above the September average high near 77°F. Recent days saw downtown Los Angeles hit 105°F and nearby sites set records, while model consensus and onshore flow suggest only modest cooling from prior peaks. Lower bins (90–93°F) hold the remaining notable shares as traders weigh any late-day marine layer influence or slight forecast revisions. The market reflects skin-in-the-game consensus on these near-term observational thresholds rather than longer-range trends.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Los Angeles am 10. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Los Angeles am 10. September?
94°F oder höher 38.0%
92–93 °F 33%
90-91°F 22%
88-89°F 5%
NEU
$32,720 Vol.
NEU
$32,720 Vol.
10. Sep. 2026
75°F oder niedriger
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83 °F
<1%
84-85°F
1%
30-30,5°C
3%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
22%
92–93 °F
33%
94°F oder höher
38%
94°F oder höher 38.0%
92–93 °F 33%
90-91°F 22%
88-89°F 5%
NEU
$32,720 Vol.
NEU
$32,720 Vol.
10. Sep. 2026
75°F oder niedriger
$856 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$635 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$1,083 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$637 Vol.
<1%
82-83 °F
$561 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$2,254 Vol.
1%
30-30,5°C
$6,405 Vol.
3%
88-89°F
$5,378 Vol.
5%
90-91°F
$5,384 Vol.
22%
92–93 °F
$3,988 Vol.
33%
94°F oder höher
$5,538 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**A persistent heat wave driven by strong high pressure and elevated humidity has positioned the National Weather Service forecast for a 96°F high in Los Angeles on September 10 as the dominant factor behind the 57% market-implied probability for 94°F or higher.**
Official guidance highlights sunny conditions with heat indices potentially reaching 108°F amid the event’s peak, well above the September average high near 77°F. Recent days saw downtown Los Angeles hit 105°F and nearby sites set records, while model consensus and onshore flow suggest only modest cooling from prior peaks. Lower bins (90–93°F) hold the remaining notable shares as traders weigh any late-day marine layer influence or slight forecast revisions. The market reflects skin-in-the-game consensus on these near-term observational thresholds rather than longer-range trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Volumen
$32,720Enddatum
10. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 7:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**A persistent heat wave driven by strong high pressure and elevated humidity has positioned the National Weather Service forecast for a 96°F high in Los Angeles on September 10 as the dominant factor behind the 57% market-implied probability for 94°F or higher.**
Official guidance highlights sunny conditions with heat indices potentially reaching 108°F amid the event’s peak, well above the September average high near 77°F. Recent days saw downtown Los Angeles hit 105°F and nearby sites set records, while model consensus and onshore flow suggest only modest cooling from prior peaks. Lower bins (90–93°F) hold the remaining notable shares as traders weigh any late-day marine layer influence or slight forecast revisions. The market reflects skin-in-the-game consensus on these near-term observational thresholds rather than longer-range trends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$32,720Enddatum
10. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 7:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**A persistent heat wave driven by strong high pressure and elevated humidity has positioned the National Weather Service forecast for a 96°F high in Los Angeles on September 10 as the dominant factor behind the 57% market-implied probability for 94°F or higher.** Official guidance highlights sunny conditions with heat indices potentially reaching 108°F amid the event’s peak, well above the September average high near 77°F. Recent days saw downtown Los Angeles hit 105°F and nearby sites set records, while model consensus and onshore flow suggest only modest cooling from prior peaks. Lower bins (90–93°F) hold the remaining notable shares as traders weigh any late-day marine layer influence or slight forecast revisions. The market reflects skin-in-the-game consensus on these near-term observational thresholds rather than longer-range trends.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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