Recent northeasterly flow of cooler air from higher latitudes has lowered daytime temperatures across the Seoul-Incheon region by 2–4°C compared with the prior week, with official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models projecting a September 10 high of 24–25°C under mostly cloudy skies, light winds, and negligible precipitation risk. This positions the 24°C outcome as the market leader at 50.5% implied probability, closely followed by 23°C and 25°C, reflecting tight clustering around numerical guidance and historical September climatology near 25.8°C. No major model divergence or sudden warming signals have emerged in the latest runs, keeping higher or lower extremes at low probabilities ahead of official Incheon observations that will resolve the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Seoul (Incheon) am 10. September?
24°C 51%
23°C 21%
25°C 20%
26°C 6%
$12,433 Vol.
$12,433 Vol.
19°C oder niedriger
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
4%
23°C
21%
24°C
51%
25°C
20%
26°C
6%
27°C
3%
28°C
<1%
29°C oder höher
<1%
24°C 51%
23°C 21%
25°C 20%
26°C 6%
$12,433 Vol.
$12,433 Vol.
19°C oder niedriger
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
4%
23°C
21%
24°C
51%
25°C
20%
26°C
6%
27°C
3%
28°C
<1%
29°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent northeasterly flow of cooler air from higher latitudes has lowered daytime temperatures across the Seoul-Incheon region by 2–4°C compared with the prior week, with official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and supporting models projecting a September 10 high of 24–25°C under mostly cloudy skies, light winds, and negligible precipitation risk. This positions the 24°C outcome as the market leader at 50.5% implied probability, closely followed by 23°C and 25°C, reflecting tight clustering around numerical guidance and historical September climatology near 25.8°C. No major model divergence or sudden warming signals have emerged in the latest runs, keeping higher or lower extremes at low probabilities ahead of official Incheon observations that will resolve the market.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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