Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and GFS-based models indicate a high near 24°C for Toronto on September 9 amid showers and thunderstorms driven by southwesterly flow. Southerly winds ahead of the system may enhance warm-air advection, supporting peaks closer to 25–26°C in some guidance, while widespread cloud cover, precipitation, and higher humidity could cap the maximum near 24°C or below. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these values because short-range model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of convective initiation, with resolution hinging on the precise strength of the surface low and associated frontal passage. Updated model cycles and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Toronto am 9. September?
25°C 25%
26°C 25%
24°C 21%
27°C 15%
19°C oder weniger
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
10%
24°C
21%
25°C
25%
26°C
25%
27°C
15%
28°C
5%
29°C oder höher
4%
25°C 25%
26°C 25%
24°C 21%
27°C 15%
19°C oder weniger
1%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
10%
24°C
21%
25°C
25%
26°C
25%
27°C
15%
28°C
5%
29°C oder höher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 7, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and GFS-based models indicate a high near 24°C for Toronto on September 9 amid showers and thunderstorms driven by southwesterly flow. Southerly winds ahead of the system may enhance warm-air advection, supporting peaks closer to 25–26°C in some guidance, while widespread cloud cover, precipitation, and higher humidity could cap the maximum near 24°C or below. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around these values because short-range model runs show modest spread in boundary-layer moisture and timing of convective initiation, with resolution hinging on the precise strength of the surface low and associated frontal passage. Updated model cycles and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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