**Cloud cover, convective showers, and regional low-pressure patterns are the main drivers capping maximum temperatures in Mexico City on September 9.** Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance projects a 24–26 °C range amid partly cloudy to overcast skies, light northerly winds, and a 40–80 % chance of afternoon chubascos that reduce surface heating. Multiple global and regional models cluster daily highs near 22–24 °C, with limited model spread on peak insolation before showers develop. The narrow market gap between 24 °C and 25 °C+ reflects uncertainty over exact rain timing and cloud persistence: earlier or heavier convection favors the lower outcome by limiting solar input, while delayed or lighter activity allows brief clearing and a higher peak. Historical September baselines near 24 °C provide context, but the current synoptic setup favors values at or just below the upper end of the official range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 9. September?
24°C 44%
25°C oder höher 38%
23°C 16%
22°C 5%
15°C oder weniger
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
16%
24°C
44%
25°C oder höher
38%
24°C 44%
25°C oder höher 38%
23°C 16%
22°C 5%
15°C oder weniger
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
5%
23°C
16%
24°C
44%
25°C oder höher
38%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 7, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Cloud cover, convective showers, and regional low-pressure patterns are the main drivers capping maximum temperatures in Mexico City on September 9.** Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance projects a 24–26 °C range amid partly cloudy to overcast skies, light northerly winds, and a 40–80 % chance of afternoon chubascos that reduce surface heating. Multiple global and regional models cluster daily highs near 22–24 °C, with limited model spread on peak insolation before showers develop. The narrow market gap between 24 °C and 25 °C+ reflects uncertainty over exact rain timing and cloud persistence: earlier or heavier convection favors the lower outcome by limiting solar input, while delayed or lighter activity allows brief clearing and a higher peak. Historical September baselines near 24 °C provide context, but the current synoptic setup favors values at or just below the upper end of the official range.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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