Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature in São Paulo on September 10 around 17–18°C amid widespread cloud cover, intermittent rain, and thunderstorms associated with a low-pressure system and cold front. This setup favors radiative cooling overnight but is moderated by persistent moisture and northerly winds, keeping values above the cooler readings seen earlier in the month. September 2026 has already trended 6–7°C below historical averages, with recent minima near 13–16°C on rainy days, supporting trader focus on the 13°C-or-below outcome at 48% implied probability. Model consensus points to limited further cooling potential, yet variability in storm timing and any southward advection of cooler air maintains elevated odds for sub-18°C readings while capping enthusiasm for warmer brackets above 20°C. Updated official guidance from agencies such as the National Institute of Meteorology or regional centers on the morning of the 10th will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 10. September?
13°C oder darunter 74%
23°C oder höher 46%
20°C 38%
19°C 36%
13°C oder darunter
74%
14°C
15%
15°C
19%
16°C
22%
17°C
26%
18°C
31%
19°C
36%
20°C
38%
21°C
16%
22°C
16%
23°C oder höher
46%
13°C oder darunter 74%
23°C oder höher 46%
20°C 38%
19°C 36%
13°C oder darunter
74%
14°C
15%
15°C
19%
16°C
22%
17°C
26%
18°C
31%
19°C
36%
20°C
38%
21°C
16%
22°C
16%
23°C oder höher
46%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 8:28 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature in São Paulo on September 10 around 17–18°C amid widespread cloud cover, intermittent rain, and thunderstorms associated with a low-pressure system and cold front. This setup favors radiative cooling overnight but is moderated by persistent moisture and northerly winds, keeping values above the cooler readings seen earlier in the month. September 2026 has already trended 6–7°C below historical averages, with recent minima near 13–16°C on rainy days, supporting trader focus on the 13°C-or-below outcome at 48% implied probability. Model consensus points to limited further cooling potential, yet variability in storm timing and any southward advection of cooler air maintains elevated odds for sub-18°C readings while capping enthusiasm for warmer brackets above 20°C. Updated official guidance from agencies such as the National Institute of Meteorology or regional centers on the morning of the 10th will likely refine these ranges ahead of market resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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