Recent frontal systems and low-pressure development over southern Brazil have driven cooler, unstable conditions across São Paulo in early September, with observed minima near 14–16°C amid widespread rain. Official forecasts from sources including Climatempo, INMET-aligned models, and international guidance show model spread for the September 11 minimum, with some runs projecting continued northerly flow and clearing that could hold overnight lows near or above 19–20°C, while others retain cooler maritime air or lingering cloud cover supporting values at or below 15°C. This divergence in steering patterns and boundary-layer recovery underpins the near-even market split between sub-14°C and 24°C+ outcomes, with specific bins around 18–22°C reflecting residual uncertainty ahead of updated model runs and overnight observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 11. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Sao Paulo am 11. September?
14°C oder darunter 98%
24°C oder höher 98%
15°C 39%
16°C 39%
NEU
NEU
11. Sep. 2026
14°C oder darunter
98%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
21%
18°C
22%
19°C
21%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C
39%
24°C oder höher
98%
14°C oder darunter 98%
24°C oder höher 98%
15°C 39%
16°C 39%
NEU
NEU
11. Sep. 2026
14°C oder darunter
$0 Vol.
98%
15°C
$0 Vol.
39%
16°C
$0 Vol.
39%
17°C
$0 Vol.
21%
18°C
$0 Vol.
22%
19°C
$0 Vol.
21%
20°C
$0 Vol.
39%
21°C
$0 Vol.
39%
22°C
$0 Vol.
39%
23°C
$0 Vol.
39%
24°C oder höher
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent frontal systems and low-pressure development over southern Brazil have driven cooler, unstable conditions across São Paulo in early September, with observed minima near 14–16°C amid widespread rain. Official forecasts from sources including Climatempo, INMET-aligned models, and international guidance show model spread for the September 11 minimum, with some runs projecting continued northerly flow and clearing that could hold overnight lows near or above 19–20°C, while others retain cooler maritime air or lingering cloud cover supporting values at or below 15°C. This divergence in steering patterns and boundary-layer recovery underpins the near-even market split between sub-14°C and 24°C+ outcomes, with specific bins around 18–22°C reflecting residual uncertainty ahead of updated model runs and overnight observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 9, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
11. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 9, 2026, 8:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent frontal systems and low-pressure development over southern Brazil have driven cooler, unstable conditions across São Paulo in early September, with observed minima near 14–16°C amid widespread rain. Official forecasts from sources including Climatempo, INMET-aligned models, and international guidance show model spread for the September 11 minimum, with some runs projecting continued northerly flow and clearing that could hold overnight lows near or above 19–20°C, while others retain cooler maritime air or lingering cloud cover supporting values at or below 15°C. This divergence in steering patterns and boundary-layer recovery underpins the near-even market split between sub-14°C and 24°C+ outcomes, with specific bins around 18–22°C reflecting residual uncertainty ahead of updated model runs and overnight observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgr
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
11. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 9, 2026, 8:29 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=sbgrAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent frontal systems and low-pressure development over southern Brazil have driven cooler, unstable conditions across São Paulo in early September, with observed minima near 14–16°C amid widespread rain. Official forecasts from sources including Climatempo, INMET-aligned models, and international guidance show model spread for the September 11 minimum, with some runs projecting continued northerly flow and clearing that could hold overnight lows near or above 19–20°C, while others retain cooler maritime air or lingering cloud cover supporting values at or below 15°C. This divergence in steering patterns and boundary-layer recovery underpins the near-even market split between sub-14°C and 24°C+ outcomes, with specific bins around 18–22°C reflecting residual uncertainty ahead of updated model runs and overnight observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen