**Persistent cloud cover and light afternoon showers associated with Mexico City's rainy season are the dominant factors keeping market-implied odds closely split between 24°C (38%) and 25°C or higher (30.5%).** At roughly 2,240 meters elevation in a highland valley, reduced solar insolation from extensive cloudiness (often exceeding 90% coverage) and evaporative cooling from precipitation typically cap daily maxima near the September climatological average of 23°C. Recent model runs show highs ranging 22–25°C depending on the exact timing and intensity of convective activity, with official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance highlighting continued overcast conditions and localized rainfall. Traders are weighting the balance between these meteorological variables ahead of updated short-range forecasts and observational data expected over the next 24 hours.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Mexiko-Stadt am 8. September?
24°C 38%
25°C oder höher 32%
23°C 21%
22°C 7%
15°C oder darunter
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
21%
24°C
38%
25°C oder höher
32%
24°C 38%
25°C oder höher 32%
23°C 21%
22°C 7%
15°C oder darunter
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
7%
23°C
21%
24°C
38%
25°C oder höher
32%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 6, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cloud cover and light afternoon showers associated with Mexico City's rainy season are the dominant factors keeping market-implied odds closely split between 24°C (38%) and 25°C or higher (30.5%).** At roughly 2,240 meters elevation in a highland valley, reduced solar insolation from extensive cloudiness (often exceeding 90% coverage) and evaporative cooling from precipitation typically cap daily maxima near the September climatological average of 23°C. Recent model runs show highs ranging 22–25°C depending on the exact timing and intensity of convective activity, with official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional guidance highlighting continued overcast conditions and localized rainfall. Traders are weighting the balance between these meteorological variables ahead of updated short-range forecasts and observational data expected over the next 24 hours.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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