Recent National Weather Service and private forecast models indicate sunny, stable high-pressure conditions over North Texas through the weekend, with light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting afternoon highs of 98–100°F in Dallas on September 6. This places the 98–99°F bin as the current market leader, consistent with consensus guidance showing temperatures slightly above the 1991–2020 daily average of 92.5°F amid ongoing late-summer warmth. Dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s will produce heat indices near 105°F, though the official high remains the dry-bulb maximum. No significant frontal passages or tropical moisture are expected before resolution, keeping probabilities concentrated in the upper 90s to low 100s while allowing limited upside risk if models trend warmer.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Dallas am 6. September?
98-99°F 43%
102-103°F 25%
100-101°F 24%
96-97°F 20%
87°F oder darunter
1%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
7%
94-95°F
19%
96-97°F
20%
98-99°F
43%
100-101°F
24%
102-103°F
25%
104-105°F
7%
106°F oder höher
7%
98-99°F 43%
102-103°F 25%
100-101°F 24%
96-97°F 20%
87°F oder darunter
1%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
7%
92-93°F
7%
94-95°F
19%
96-97°F
20%
98-99°F
43%
100-101°F
24%
102-103°F
25%
104-105°F
7%
106°F oder höher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 4, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdal
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kdalAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and private forecast models indicate sunny, stable high-pressure conditions over North Texas through the weekend, with light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover supporting afternoon highs of 98–100°F in Dallas on September 6. This places the 98–99°F bin as the current market leader, consistent with consensus guidance showing temperatures slightly above the 1991–2020 daily average of 92.5°F amid ongoing late-summer warmth. Dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s will produce heat indices near 105°F, though the official high remains the dry-bulb maximum. No significant frontal passages or tropical moisture are expected before resolution, keeping probabilities concentrated in the upper 90s to low 100s while allowing limited upside risk if models trend warmer.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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