**Forecast models and current conditions point to a daily maximum near 38°C in Jeddah on September 4, 2026, driving the highest market-implied probability (40.5%) on that outcome.** Multiple sources, including WeatherBug (projecting ~38°C/100°F), Met Office (~39°C), and Yr.no (peaking near 37°C), show consistent highs in the upper 30s under partly cloudy skies, light-to-moderate northwest winds, and low precipitation risk. These align with Jeddah’s typical early-September subtropical Red Sea climate, where daytime maxima often reach 36–39°C before seasonal cooling later in the month. **Supporting factors include stable atmospheric patterns with clear to partly cloudy conditions, dew points supporting heat indices above actual air temperatures, and no incoming fronts or monsoon influences expected in the short term.** Historical baselines for early September in Jeddah average around 36–37°C, so the current consensus reflects slightly above-normal persistence of summer heat without extreme spikes. Lower-probability outcomes (e.g., 40°C+ at 8% or 37°C at 14%) account for minor model spread and potential measurement variations at official stations. **With only ~48 hours until the observation window closes, traders are weighting the latest official guidance heavily; any updated runs from regional meteorological centers could shift implied odds if they deviate from the 38–39°C cluster.**
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Dschidda am 4. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Dschidda am 4. September?
38°C 41%
39°C 29%
37 °C 14%
40°C 8%
NEU
NEU
4. Sep. 2026
31°C oder weniger
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
1%
35°C
2%
36°C
4%
37 °C
14%
38°C
41%
39°C
29%
40°C
8%
41°C oder höher
6%
38°C 41%
39°C 29%
37 °C 14%
40°C 8%
NEU
NEU
4. Sep. 2026
31°C oder weniger
$86 Vol.
1%
32°C
$86 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$11 Vol.
1%
34°C
$91 Vol.
1%
35°C
$36 Vol.
2%
36°C
$45 Vol.
4%
37 °C
$121 Vol.
14%
38°C
$163 Vol.
41%
39°C
$315 Vol.
29%
40°C
$97 Vol.
8%
41°C oder höher
$166 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and current conditions point to a daily maximum near 38°C in Jeddah on September 4, 2026, driving the highest market-implied probability (40.5%) on that outcome.** Multiple sources, including WeatherBug (projecting ~38°C/100°F), Met Office (~39°C), and Yr.no (peaking near 37°C), show consistent highs in the upper 30s under partly cloudy skies, light-to-moderate northwest winds, and low precipitation risk. These align with Jeddah’s typical early-September subtropical Red Sea climate, where daytime maxima often reach 36–39°C before seasonal cooling later in the month.
**Supporting factors include stable atmospheric patterns with clear to partly cloudy conditions, dew points supporting heat indices above actual air temperatures, and no incoming fronts or monsoon influences expected in the short term.** Historical baselines for early September in Jeddah average around 36–37°C, so the current consensus reflects slightly above-normal persistence of summer heat without extreme spikes. Lower-probability outcomes (e.g., 40°C+ at 8% or 37°C at 14%) account for minor model spread and potential measurement variations at official stations.
**With only ~48 hours until the observation window closes, traders are weighting the latest official guidance heavily; any updated runs from regional meteorological centers could shift implied odds if they deviate from the 38–39°C cluster.**
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$1,217Enddatum
4. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and current conditions point to a daily maximum near 38°C in Jeddah on September 4, 2026, driving the highest market-implied probability (40.5%) on that outcome.** Multiple sources, including WeatherBug (projecting ~38°C/100°F), Met Office (~39°C), and Yr.no (peaking near 37°C), show consistent highs in the upper 30s under partly cloudy skies, light-to-moderate northwest winds, and low precipitation risk. These align with Jeddah’s typical early-September subtropical Red Sea climate, where daytime maxima often reach 36–39°C before seasonal cooling later in the month.
**Supporting factors include stable atmospheric patterns with clear to partly cloudy conditions, dew points supporting heat indices above actual air temperatures, and no incoming fronts or monsoon influences expected in the short term.** Historical baselines for early September in Jeddah average around 36–37°C, so the current consensus reflects slightly above-normal persistence of summer heat without extreme spikes. Lower-probability outcomes (e.g., 40°C+ at 8% or 37°C at 14%) account for minor model spread and potential measurement variations at official stations.
**With only ~48 hours until the observation window closes, traders are weighting the latest official guidance heavily; any updated runs from regional meteorological centers could shift implied odds if they deviate from the 38–39°C cluster.**
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,217Enddatum
4. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 2, 2026, 12:58 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and current conditions point to a daily maximum near 38°C in Jeddah on September 4, 2026, driving the highest market-implied probability (40.5%) on that outcome.** Multiple sources, including WeatherBug (projecting ~38°C/100°F), Met Office (~39°C), and Yr.no (peaking near 37°C), show consistent highs in the upper 30s under partly cloudy skies, light-to-moderate northwest winds, and low precipitation risk. These align with Jeddah’s typical early-September subtropical Red Sea climate, where daytime maxima often reach 36–39°C before seasonal cooling later in the month. **Supporting factors include stable atmospheric patterns with clear to partly cloudy conditions, dew points supporting heat indices above actual air temperatures, and no incoming fronts or monsoon influences expected in the short term.** Historical baselines for early September in Jeddah average around 36–37°C, so the current consensus reflects slightly above-normal persistence of summer heat without extreme spikes. Lower-probability outcomes (e.g., 40°C+ at 8% or 37°C at 14%) account for minor model spread and potential measurement variations at official stations. **With only ~48 hours until the observation window closes, traders are weighting the latest official guidance heavily; any updated runs from regional meteorological centers could shift implied odds if they deviate from the 38–39°C cluster.**
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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