Shanghai's early September subtropical climate features high baseline humidity and urban heat island effects that can push daily maxima 1–2°C above rural surroundings, with the precise peak hinging on afternoon cloud cover, wind direction from the East China Sea, and any convective development. Ensemble forecast spreads from global models show tight clustering around 29–30°C for September 2, reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and shortwave radiation under weak steering flow. Trader consensus at these two outcomes captures the narrow margin between partly cloudy conditions limiting insolation versus clearer skies allowing full diurnal heating, with official Shanghai station observations and any last-model runs expected to resolve the threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 2. September?
Höchste Temperatur in Shanghai am 2. September?
29°C 38%
30°C 38%
28°C 16%
31°C 8%
NEU
$43,308 Vol.
NEU
$43,308 Vol.
2. Sep. 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
5%
28°C
16%
29°C
38%
30°C
38%
31°C
8%
32°C
2%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 38%
30°C 38%
28°C 16%
31°C 8%
NEU
$43,308 Vol.
NEU
$43,308 Vol.
2. Sep. 2026
25°C or below
$5,016 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$3,635 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,037 Vol.
5%
28°C
$6,346 Vol.
16%
29°C
$8,420 Vol.
38%
30°C
$7,493 Vol.
38%
31°C
$6,770 Vol.
8%
32°C
$1,454 Vol.
2%
33°C
$1,328 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$378 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$432 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Shanghai's early September subtropical climate features high baseline humidity and urban heat island effects that can push daily maxima 1–2°C above rural surroundings, with the precise peak hinging on afternoon cloud cover, wind direction from the East China Sea, and any convective development. Ensemble forecast spreads from global models show tight clustering around 29–30°C for September 2, reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and shortwave radiation under weak steering flow. Trader consensus at these two outcomes captures the narrow margin between partly cloudy conditions limiting insolation versus clearer skies allowing full diurnal heating, with official Shanghai station observations and any last-model runs expected to resolve the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$43,308Enddatum
2. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Shanghai's early September subtropical climate features high baseline humidity and urban heat island effects that can push daily maxima 1–2°C above rural surroundings, with the precise peak hinging on afternoon cloud cover, wind direction from the East China Sea, and any convective development. Ensemble forecast spreads from global models show tight clustering around 29–30°C for September 2, reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and shortwave radiation under weak steering flow. Trader consensus at these two outcomes captures the narrow margin between partly cloudy conditions limiting insolation versus clearer skies allowing full diurnal heating, with official Shanghai station observations and any last-model runs expected to resolve the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$43,308Enddatum
2. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Shanghai's early September subtropical climate features high baseline humidity and urban heat island effects that can push daily maxima 1–2°C above rural surroundings, with the precise peak hinging on afternoon cloud cover, wind direction from the East China Sea, and any convective development. Ensemble forecast spreads from global models show tight clustering around 29–30°C for September 2, reflecting modest uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture and shortwave radiation under weak steering flow. Trader consensus at these two outcomes captures the narrow margin between partly cloudy conditions limiting insolation versus clearer skies allowing full diurnal heating, with official Shanghai station observations and any last-model runs expected to resolve the threshold.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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