Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration show Shanghai's September 2 minimum temperature most likely settling near 25–27°C, driven by persistent easterly flow, high humidity above 80%, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating while preventing sharp overnight radiational cooling. Ensemble guidance highlights this range as the consensus outcome, consistent with early-September climatology where lows average 24–26°C amid transitioning monsoon patterns. Recent model runs have stabilized around these values with limited spread, though minor shifts in precipitation timing or wind direction could push the actual minimum toward 24°C or 28°C. Traders weighting real-time data releases from regional stations and updated ECMWF/GFS runs keep 26°C as the market favorite.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 2. September?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Shanghai am 2. September?
26°C 47%
27°C 34%
25°C 12%
23°C 10%
NEU
NEU
2. Sep. 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
10%
24°C
10%
25°C
12%
26°C
47%
27°C
34%
28°C
2%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 47%
27°C 34%
25°C 12%
23°C 10%
NEU
NEU
2. Sep. 2026
22°C or below
$30 Vol.
1%
23°C
$61 Vol.
10%
24°C
$41 Vol.
10%
25°C
$238 Vol.
12%
26°C
$89 Vol.
47%
27°C
$265 Vol.
34%
28°C
$117 Vol.
2%
29°C
$52 Vol.
2%
30°C
$135 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$100 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$341 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration show Shanghai's September 2 minimum temperature most likely settling near 25–27°C, driven by persistent easterly flow, high humidity above 80%, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating while preventing sharp overnight radiational cooling. Ensemble guidance highlights this range as the consensus outcome, consistent with early-September climatology where lows average 24–26°C amid transitioning monsoon patterns. Recent model runs have stabilized around these values with limited spread, though minor shifts in precipitation timing or wind direction could push the actual minimum toward 24°C or 28°C. Traders weighting real-time data releases from regional stations and updated ECMWF/GFS runs keep 26°C as the market favorite.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volumen
$1,469Enddatum
2. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration show Shanghai's September 2 minimum temperature most likely settling near 25–27°C, driven by persistent easterly flow, high humidity above 80%, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating while preventing sharp overnight radiational cooling. Ensemble guidance highlights this range as the consensus outcome, consistent with early-September climatology where lows average 24–26°C amid transitioning monsoon patterns. Recent model runs have stabilized around these values with limited spread, though minor shifts in precipitation timing or wind direction could push the actual minimum toward 24°C or 28°C. Traders weighting real-time data releases from regional stations and updated ECMWF/GFS runs keep 26°C as the market favorite.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,469Enddatum
2. Sep. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration show Shanghai's September 2 minimum temperature most likely settling near 25–27°C, driven by persistent easterly flow, high humidity above 80%, and scattered showers that limit daytime heating while preventing sharp overnight radiational cooling. Ensemble guidance highlights this range as the consensus outcome, consistent with early-September climatology where lows average 24–26°C amid transitioning monsoon patterns. Recent model runs have stabilized around these values with limited spread, though minor shifts in precipitation timing or wind direction could push the actual minimum toward 24°C or 28°C. Traders weighting real-time data releases from regional stations and updated ECMWF/GFS runs keep 26°C as the market favorite.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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