Skip to main content
icon for Niederschlag in Hongkong im September?

Niederschlag in Hongkong im September?

icon for Niederschlag in Hongkong im September?

Niederschlag in Hongkong im September?

NYC

Hong Kong

London

Seattle

NYC

Hong Kong

London

Seattle

<275mm 32%

275-300mm 15%

450-500mm 12%

300-325mm 11%

Polymarket
NEU

<275mm 32%

275-300mm 15%

450-500mm 12%

300-325mm 11%

Polymarket
NEU

<275mm

$805 Vol.

32%

275-300mm

$128 Vol.

15%

300-325mm

$128 Vol.

11%

325-350mm

$128 Vol.

9%

350-375mm

$125 Vol.

7%

375-400mm

$125 Vol.

7%

400-450mm

$150 Vol.

8%

450-500mm

$125 Vol.

12%

500-550mm

$128 Vol.

10%

550mm+

$150 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between September 1 and September 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in September 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range. If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders assign the highest implied probability to below-average September precipitation in Hong Kong, reflecting uncertainty in tropical cyclone tracks and monsoon trough strength during the peak typhoon season. Historical normals from the Hong Kong Observatory place mean September rainfall near 321 mm, driven primarily by rainbands from systems traversing the South China Sea and western North Pacific. Early September 2026 forecasts indicate scattered heavy showers and thunderstorms from a nearby low-pressure area, yet steering patterns and subtropical ridge positioning could limit further impacts, favoring totals under 300 mm. Key variables include cyclone frequency and intensity, which can add 100+ mm in days, versus suppressed convection under stronger high pressure; model consensus on landfall windows and MJO phase will refine probabilities as the month progresses.

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between September 1 and September 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.

If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in September 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.

If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,990
Enddatum
1. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 9:41 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between September 1 and September 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in September 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range. If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between September 1 and September 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in September 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range. If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders assign the highest implied probability to below-average September precipitation in Hong Kong, reflecting uncertainty in tropical cyclone tracks and monsoon trough strength during the peak typhoon season. Historical normals from the Hong Kong Observatory place mean September rainfall near 321 mm, driven primarily by rainbands from systems traversing the South China Sea and western North Pacific. Early September 2026 forecasts indicate scattered heavy showers and thunderstorms from a nearby low-pressure area, yet steering patterns and subtropical ridge positioning could limit further impacts, favoring totals under 300 mm. Key variables include cyclone frequency and intensity, which can add 100+ mm in days, versus suppressed convection under stronger high pressure; model consensus on landfall windows and MJO phase will refine probabilities as the month progresses.

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between September 1 and September 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory.

If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in September 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range.

If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.

The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,990
Enddatum
1. Okt. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Aug 31, 2026, 9:41 AM ET

Abwickler

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Hong Kong between September 1 and September 30, 2026, according to the Hong Kong Observatory. If the reported data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Total Rainfall (mm)" figure for all days in September 2026 under the "Daily Extract" at the https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm link once figures are finalized for the specified range. If the relevant data is not available by December 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen. The resolution source for this market measures precipitation to 1 decimal place (e.g., 1.5), thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. Any revisions to precipitation recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Verwandte

icon for Will Hong Kong have less than 425mm of precipitation in August?

Will Hong Kong have less than 425mm of precipitation in August?

95%
icon for Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in September?

Will London have less than 30mm of precipitation in September?

19%
icon for Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 1?

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 1?

59%

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Niederschlag in Hongkong im September?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 10 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „<275mm" mit 32%, gefolgt von „275-300mm" mit 15%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 32¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 32% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Niederschlag in Hongkong im September?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Aug 31, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Niederschlag in Hongkong im September?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 10 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Niederschlag in Hongkong im September?" ist „<275mm" mit 32%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 32% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „275-300mm" mit 15%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Niederschlag in Hongkong im September?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.