Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a peak of 28°C for Toronto on September 2 amid southerly flow and high humidity, with a 60% chance of showers and thunderstorms. Scattered convection and cloud cover are expected to moderate daytime heating, keeping maxima near or slightly below ensemble guidance that ranges 26–30°C. This aligns with trader-implied probabilities clustering on 27–29°C, reflecting uncertainty in convective timing and intensity rather than broad warming trends. Historical September 2 highs average 24°C, so current warm advection stands out, though precipitation offers downside risk for the upper outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow will clarify any shifts ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Toronto am 2. September?
29°C 26%
28°C 25%
30°C 14%
27°C 13%
25°C or below
3%
26°C
5%
27°C
21%
28°C
25%
29°C
26%
30°C
14%
31°C
9%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 26%
28°C 25%
30°C 14%
27°C 13%
25°C or below
3%
26°C
5%
27°C
21%
28°C
25%
29°C
26%
30°C
14%
31°C
9%
32°C
4%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 31, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a peak of 28°C for Toronto on September 2 amid southerly flow and high humidity, with a 60% chance of showers and thunderstorms. Scattered convection and cloud cover are expected to moderate daytime heating, keeping maxima near or slightly below ensemble guidance that ranges 26–30°C. This aligns with trader-implied probabilities clustering on 27–29°C, reflecting uncertainty in convective timing and intensity rather than broad warming trends. Historical September 2 highs average 24°C, so current warm advection stands out, though precipitation offers downside risk for the upper outcomes. Updated model runs and official briefings tomorrow will clarify any shifts ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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