Recent National Weather Service and commercial forecasts for San Francisco on August 31, 2026, center on highs of 62–66 °F under mostly cloudy skies with southwest winds of 10–20 mph, reflecting a persistent marine layer capped by a temperature inversion. This cool, moist air mass—sustained by the California Current and the North Pacific High—limits daytime heating and promotes onshore flow that suppresses temperatures below the late-August climatological average of ~69–70 °F. Trader consensus clusters in the mid-60s because small forecast differences in marine-layer depth, wind mixing, or partial clearing can shift the daily maximum by 2–4 °F across the city’s microclimates. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution, keeping outcomes tightly bunched around the guidance envelope.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in San Francisco am 31. August?
66-67°F 34%
64-65°F 25%
20-21°C 19%
60-61°F 12%
57°F oder niedriger
1%
58-59°F
9%
60-61°F
12%
62-63°F
11%
64-65°F
25%
66-67°F
34%
20-21°C
19%
70-71°F
10%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
5%
76°F oder höher
5%
66-67°F 34%
64-65°F 25%
20-21°C 19%
60-61°F 12%
57°F oder niedriger
1%
58-59°F
9%
60-61°F
12%
62-63°F
11%
64-65°F
25%
66-67°F
34%
20-21°C
19%
70-71°F
10%
72-73°F
9%
74-75°F
5%
76°F oder höher
5%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 29, 2026, 7:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and commercial forecasts for San Francisco on August 31, 2026, center on highs of 62–66 °F under mostly cloudy skies with southwest winds of 10–20 mph, reflecting a persistent marine layer capped by a temperature inversion. This cool, moist air mass—sustained by the California Current and the North Pacific High—limits daytime heating and promotes onshore flow that suppresses temperatures below the late-August climatological average of ~69–70 °F. Trader consensus clusters in the mid-60s because small forecast differences in marine-layer depth, wind mixing, or partial clearing can shift the daily maximum by 2–4 °F across the city’s microclimates. No major synoptic changes are expected before resolution, keeping outcomes tightly bunched around the guidance envelope.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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