Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and private models indicate mostly sunny skies and south-southeasterly flow over Austin through August 31, supporting daytime highs near 98–100 °F under typical late-summer high pressure. Persistent subsidence and low precipitable water limit cloud development and evaporative cooling, while soil moisture deficits from the ongoing warm season enhance sensible heat flux. Ensemble guidance shows minimal day-to-day variability, with the 98–99 °F bin holding the highest implied probability because model consensus clusters in the upper 90s; a modest warm bias or slightly stronger mixing could shift outcomes into the low 100s. Updated National Weather Service guidance and local observations on August 30 will provide the final data window before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Austin am 31. August?
Höchste Temperatur in Austin am 31. August?
98-99°F 52%
100-101°F 38%
96-97°F 9%
102-103°F 7%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
89°F oder niedriger
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
5%
96-97°F
9%
98-99°F
52%
100-101°F
38%
102-103°F
7%
104-105°F
5%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F oder höher
<1%
98-99°F 52%
100-101°F 38%
96-97°F 9%
102-103°F 7%
NEU
NEU
31. Aug. 2026
89°F oder niedriger
$18 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$28 Vol.
<1%
92-93°F
$117 Vol.
2%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
5%
96-97°F
$24 Vol.
9%
98-99°F
$252 Vol.
52%
100-101°F
$137 Vol.
38%
102-103°F
$54 Vol.
7%
104-105°F
$0 Vol.
5%
106-107°F
$18 Vol.
<1%
108°F oder höher
$29 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and private models indicate mostly sunny skies and south-southeasterly flow over Austin through August 31, supporting daytime highs near 98–100 °F under typical late-summer high pressure. Persistent subsidence and low precipitable water limit cloud development and evaporative cooling, while soil moisture deficits from the ongoing warm season enhance sensible heat flux. Ensemble guidance shows minimal day-to-day variability, with the 98–99 °F bin holding the highest implied probability because model consensus clusters in the upper 90s; a modest warm bias or slightly stronger mixing could shift outcomes into the low 100s. Updated National Weather Service guidance and local observations on August 30 will provide the final data window before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ET
Volumen
$676Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and private models indicate mostly sunny skies and south-southeasterly flow over Austin through August 31, supporting daytime highs near 98–100 °F under typical late-summer high pressure. Persistent subsidence and low precipitable water limit cloud development and evaporative cooling, while soil moisture deficits from the ongoing warm season enhance sensible heat flux. Ensemble guidance shows minimal day-to-day variability, with the 98–99 °F bin holding the highest implied probability because model consensus clusters in the upper 90s; a modest warm bias or slightly stronger mixing could shift outcomes into the low 100s. Updated National Weather Service guidance and local observations on August 30 will provide the final data window before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$676Enddatum
31. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 29, 2026, 3:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausAbwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the National Weather Service and private models indicate mostly sunny skies and south-southeasterly flow over Austin through August 31, supporting daytime highs near 98–100 °F under typical late-summer high pressure. Persistent subsidence and low precipitable water limit cloud development and evaporative cooling, while soil moisture deficits from the ongoing warm season enhance sensible heat flux. Ensemble guidance shows minimal day-to-day variability, with the 98–99 °F bin holding the highest implied probability because model consensus clusters in the upper 90s; a modest warm bias or slightly stronger mixing could shift outcomes into the low 100s. Updated National Weather Service guidance and local observations on August 30 will provide the final data window before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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