Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum temperature near 32°C on August 28 under weak west-to-southwest winds and a broad trough of low pressure, with partly sunny intervals interspersed with showers and isolated thunderstorms. Sea surface temperatures near 27°C and high humidity (70-95%) limit radiative heating, while afternoon sunshine windows support peaks in the low 30s. Recent model consensus and regional observations show limited intensification potential due to convective activity, keeping probabilities tightly split between 31°C and 32°C as the primary resolution thresholds. Updated guidance through the afternoon will clarify whether cloud cover or clearer breaks push the daily high higher or cap it lower.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Hongkong am 28. August?
31°C 53%
32°C 43%
33°C 8%
34°C <1%
$64,580 Vol.
$64,580 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
53%
32°C
43%
33°C
8%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 53%
32°C 43%
33°C 8%
34°C <1%
$64,580 Vol.
$64,580 Vol.
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
53%
32°C
43%
33°C
8%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 26, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a maximum temperature near 32°C on August 28 under weak west-to-southwest winds and a broad trough of low pressure, with partly sunny intervals interspersed with showers and isolated thunderstorms. Sea surface temperatures near 27°C and high humidity (70-95%) limit radiative heating, while afternoon sunshine windows support peaks in the low 30s. Recent model consensus and regional observations show limited intensification potential due to convective activity, keeping probabilities tightly split between 31°C and 32°C as the primary resolution thresholds. Updated guidance through the afternoon will clarify whether cloud cover or clearer breaks push the daily high higher or cap it lower.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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