Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration show radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds driving Qingdao’s overnight minimum to 21 °C on 28 August. This aligns with climatological August lows near 22 °C for the coastal Shandong station and recent ensemble guidance converging on that value. The 98.5 % market-implied probability for exactly 21 °C reflects traders’ assessment that official station observations will confirm this threshold rather than a warmer or cooler outlier. A rapid shift in steering flow or unexpected cloud cover could still push the minimum above 22 °C, while stronger nocturnal cooling under clearer conditions remains the main scenario that would challenge the current consensus.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Qingdao am 28. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Qingdao am 28. August?
21°C 99%
20°C or below 2%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
NEU
$24,703 Vol.
NEU
$24,703 Vol.
28. Aug. 2026
20°C or below
2%
21°C
99%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
21°C 99%
20°C or below 2%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
NEU
$24,703 Vol.
NEU
$24,703 Vol.
28. Aug. 2026
20°C or below
$165 Vol.
2%
21°C
$195 Vol.
99%
22°C
$317 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$276 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$11,745 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$11,452 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$118 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$90 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$117 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$110 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$119 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration show radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds driving Qingdao’s overnight minimum to 21 °C on 28 August. This aligns with climatological August lows near 22 °C for the coastal Shandong station and recent ensemble guidance converging on that value. The 98.5 % market-implied probability for exactly 21 °C reflects traders’ assessment that official station observations will confirm this threshold rather than a warmer or cooler outlier. A rapid shift in steering flow or unexpected cloud cover could still push the minimum above 22 °C, while stronger nocturnal cooling under clearer conditions remains the main scenario that would challenge the current consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volumen
$24,703Enddatum
28. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration show radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds driving Qingdao’s overnight minimum to 21 °C on 28 August. This aligns with climatological August lows near 22 °C for the coastal Shandong station and recent ensemble guidance converging on that value. The 98.5 % market-implied probability for exactly 21 °C reflects traders’ assessment that official station observations will confirm this threshold rather than a warmer or cooler outlier. A rapid shift in steering flow or unexpected cloud cover could still push the minimum above 22 °C, while stronger nocturnal cooling under clearer conditions remains the main scenario that would challenge the current consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$24,703Enddatum
28. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration show radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds driving Qingdao’s overnight minimum to 21 °C on 28 August. This aligns with climatological August lows near 22 °C for the coastal Shandong station and recent ensemble guidance converging on that value. The 98.5 % market-implied probability for exactly 21 °C reflects traders’ assessment that official station observations will confirm this threshold rather than a warmer or cooler outlier. A rapid shift in steering flow or unexpected cloud cover could still push the minimum above 22 °C, while stronger nocturnal cooling under clearer conditions remains the main scenario that would challenge the current consensus.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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