**Persistent warm, humid conditions driven by a stable subtropical air mass and easterly flow are positioning 80-81°F as the leading outcome for Miami’s overnight low on August 29, 2026.** National Weather Service and multiple forecast models (including WeatherBug, WillyWeather, and others) show Saturday night lows clustering around 80–83°F, with dew points remaining near 76–78°F and light east-southeast winds limiting radiational cooling. Typical late-August Miami climatology features average lows near 77–78°F, but the current pattern of high moisture and thunderstorm activity—without any frontal passage or drier air intrusion—keeps minimum temperatures elevated. Recent model runs have remained consistent, with no significant downward revisions in the past 24–48 hours, supporting the market-implied 45.5% probability on 80–81°F and 23.5% on 82–83°F. Upcoming NWS forecast updates and any changes in steering winds or convective coverage could introduce minor shifts, but the current data indicate a narrow range centered in the low 80s.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Miami am 29. August?
Niedrigste Temperatur in Miami am 29. August?
80-81°F 45%
82-83°F 22%
78-79°F 20%
76-77°F 11%
NEU
NEU
29. Aug. 2026
67°F oder darunter
<1%
20-21°C
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
11%
78-79°F
20%
80-81°F
45%
82-83°F
22%
84-85°F
4%
86°F oder höher
2%
80-81°F 45%
82-83°F 22%
78-79°F 20%
76-77°F 11%
NEU
NEU
29. Aug. 2026
67°F oder darunter
$41 Vol.
<1%
20-21°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$5 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$5 Vol.
6%
74-75°F
$75 Vol.
6%
76-77°F
$148 Vol.
11%
78-79°F
$353 Vol.
20%
80-81°F
$318 Vol.
45%
82-83°F
$342 Vol.
22%
84-85°F
$231 Vol.
4%
86°F oder höher
$47 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent warm, humid conditions driven by a stable subtropical air mass and easterly flow are positioning 80-81°F as the leading outcome for Miami’s overnight low on August 29, 2026.**
National Weather Service and multiple forecast models (including WeatherBug, WillyWeather, and others) show Saturday night lows clustering around 80–83°F, with dew points remaining near 76–78°F and light east-southeast winds limiting radiational cooling. Typical late-August Miami climatology features average lows near 77–78°F, but the current pattern of high moisture and thunderstorm activity—without any frontal passage or drier air intrusion—keeps minimum temperatures elevated. Recent model runs have remained consistent, with no significant downward revisions in the past 24–48 hours, supporting the market-implied 45.5% probability on 80–81°F and 23.5% on 82–83°F.
Upcoming NWS forecast updates and any changes in steering winds or convective coverage could introduce minor shifts, but the current data indicate a narrow range centered in the low 80s.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Volumen
$1,596Enddatum
29. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent warm, humid conditions driven by a stable subtropical air mass and easterly flow are positioning 80-81°F as the leading outcome for Miami’s overnight low on August 29, 2026.**
National Weather Service and multiple forecast models (including WeatherBug, WillyWeather, and others) show Saturday night lows clustering around 80–83°F, with dew points remaining near 76–78°F and light east-southeast winds limiting radiational cooling. Typical late-August Miami climatology features average lows near 77–78°F, but the current pattern of high moisture and thunderstorm activity—without any frontal passage or drier air intrusion—keeps minimum temperatures elevated. Recent model runs have remained consistent, with no significant downward revisions in the past 24–48 hours, supporting the market-implied 45.5% probability on 80–81°F and 23.5% on 82–83°F.
Upcoming NWS forecast updates and any changes in steering winds or convective coverage could introduce minor shifts, but the current data indicate a narrow range centered in the low 80s.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$1,596Enddatum
29. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 27, 2026, 9:29 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmiaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent warm, humid conditions driven by a stable subtropical air mass and easterly flow are positioning 80-81°F as the leading outcome for Miami’s overnight low on August 29, 2026.** National Weather Service and multiple forecast models (including WeatherBug, WillyWeather, and others) show Saturday night lows clustering around 80–83°F, with dew points remaining near 76–78°F and light east-southeast winds limiting radiational cooling. Typical late-August Miami climatology features average lows near 77–78°F, but the current pattern of high moisture and thunderstorm activity—without any frontal passage or drier air intrusion—keeps minimum temperatures elevated. Recent model runs have remained consistent, with no significant downward revisions in the past 24–48 hours, supporting the market-implied 45.5% probability on 80–81°F and 23.5% on 82–83°F. Upcoming NWS forecast updates and any changes in steering winds or convective coverage could introduce minor shifts, but the current data indicate a narrow range centered in the low 80s.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen