Recent forecasts from agencies including the Busan Meteorological Office and models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate daytime highs near 30–32°C on August 30, driven by a persistent warm, humid air mass over the Korean Peninsula and a stationary front delivering periodic showers and thunderstorms. Southwest winds of 5–10 mph and high humidity near 80% support these values, while afternoon cloud cover and rain timing introduce variability that can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Historical August maxima average 29–31°C, but elevated late-summer baselines and tropical night conditions have kept trader-implied odds clustered on 31°C and 32°C. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether intensification or additional precipitation shifts the outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Busan am 30. August?
32°C 34%
31°C 34%
33°C 19%
30°C 11%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
8%
29°C
6%
30°C
11%
31°C
34%
32°C
34%
33°C
19%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C oder höher
<1%
32°C 34%
31°C 34%
33°C 19%
30°C 11%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
8%
29°C
6%
30°C
11%
31°C
34%
32°C
34%
33°C
19%
34°C
3%
35°C
1%
36°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 28, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from agencies including the Busan Meteorological Office and models such as GFS and ECMWF indicate daytime highs near 30–32°C on August 30, driven by a persistent warm, humid air mass over the Korean Peninsula and a stationary front delivering periodic showers and thunderstorms. Southwest winds of 5–10 mph and high humidity near 80% support these values, while afternoon cloud cover and rain timing introduce variability that can suppress peaks by 1–2°C. Historical August maxima average 29–31°C, but elevated late-summer baselines and tropical night conditions have kept trader-implied odds clustered on 31°C and 32°C. Updated model runs expected in the next 24–48 hours will clarify whether intensification or additional precipitation shifts the outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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