Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a maximum of 29–31°C for Busan on August 28 amid widespread cloud cover and periods of rain or thunderstorms, driven by a lingering frontal system that reduces solar heating and enhances evaporative cooling. Ensemble models show tight clustering around this range, with high humidity and light southerly winds limiting afternoon warming compared to the preceding heatwave days. The close market split between 29°C and 30°C reflects residual uncertainty in exact timing of heaviest precipitation and local urban heat island effects, while probabilities drop sharply above 31°C due to the strong consensus on suppressed insolation. Updated model runs and KMA briefings over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these resolution thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Busan am 28. August?
30°C 35%
29°C 31%
28°C 19%
31°C 13%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
19%
29°C
31%
30°C
35%
31°C
13%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C oder höher
2%
30°C 35%
29°C 31%
28°C 19%
31°C 13%
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
5%
28°C
19%
29°C
31%
30°C
35%
31°C
13%
32°C
4%
33°C
2%
34°C oder höher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration indicate a maximum of 29–31°C for Busan on August 28 amid widespread cloud cover and periods of rain or thunderstorms, driven by a lingering frontal system that reduces solar heating and enhances evaporative cooling. Ensemble models show tight clustering around this range, with high humidity and light southerly winds limiting afternoon warming compared to the preceding heatwave days. The close market split between 29°C and 30°C reflects residual uncertainty in exact timing of heaviest precipitation and local urban heat island effects, while probabilities drop sharply above 31°C due to the strong consensus on suppressed insolation. Updated model runs and KMA briefings over the next 24–48 hours will likely refine these resolution thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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