Recent ensemble forecasts from European models show Munich's August 26 daytime maximum clustering near 26–27 °C under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly flow and limited convective activity. Minor spread arises from differences in predicted cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the afternoon peak by 1 °C. Official observations will come from the Munich station network per standard WMO protocols, where urban heat effects and precise hourly sampling determine the recorded high. Trader positioning between the 26 °C and 27 °C outcomes reflects this narrow uncertainty band typical of one-day-ahead temperature resolution, with historical late-August variability providing limited additional constraint. Updated model runs and any last-minute frontal adjustments remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in München am 26. August?
Höchste Temperatur in München am 26. August?
26°C 40%
27°C 33%
25°C 17%
28°C 8%
NEU
NEU
26. Aug. 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
17%
26°C
40%
27°C
33%
28°C
8%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
26°C 40%
27°C 33%
25°C 17%
28°C 8%
NEU
NEU
26. Aug. 2026
21°C or below
$172 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$90 Vol.
2%
24°C
$225 Vol.
3%
25°C
$932 Vol.
17%
26°C
$204 Vol.
40%
27°C
$276 Vol.
33%
28°C
$581 Vol.
8%
29°C
$218 Vol.
2%
30°C
$213 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$143 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European models show Munich's August 26 daytime maximum clustering near 26–27 °C under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly flow and limited convective activity. Minor spread arises from differences in predicted cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the afternoon peak by 1 °C. Official observations will come from the Munich station network per standard WMO protocols, where urban heat effects and precise hourly sampling determine the recorded high. Trader positioning between the 26 °C and 27 °C outcomes reflects this narrow uncertainty band typical of one-day-ahead temperature resolution, with historical late-August variability providing limited additional constraint. Updated model runs and any last-minute frontal adjustments remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$3,083Enddatum
26. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from European models show Munich's August 26 daytime maximum clustering near 26–27 °C under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly flow and limited convective activity. Minor spread arises from differences in predicted cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the afternoon peak by 1 °C. Official observations will come from the Munich station network per standard WMO protocols, where urban heat effects and precise hourly sampling determine the recorded high. Trader positioning between the 26 °C and 27 °C outcomes reflects this narrow uncertainty band typical of one-day-ahead temperature resolution, with historical late-August variability providing limited additional constraint. Updated model runs and any last-minute frontal adjustments remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$3,083Enddatum
26. Aug. 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from European models show Munich's August 26 daytime maximum clustering near 26–27 °C under partly cloudy conditions with light southerly flow and limited convective activity. Minor spread arises from differences in predicted cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, which can shift the afternoon peak by 1 °C. Official observations will come from the Munich station network per standard WMO protocols, where urban heat effects and precise hourly sampling determine the recorded high. Trader positioning between the 26 °C and 27 °C outcomes reflects this narrow uncertainty band typical of one-day-ahead temperature resolution, with historical late-August variability providing limited additional constraint. Updated model runs and any last-minute frontal adjustments remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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